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Analysis Kernex Microsystems (KERNEX)

5/26/2024

Analysis Kernex Microsystems  (KERNEX)

Analysis of Kernex Microsystems (KERNEX)

Kernex Microsystems has been showing a downward trend in the past few days. The RSI indicator has been hovering around 30-40, indicating a slightly oversold condition but not yet reaching the level for a potential reversal.

The MACD indicator has been negative, with the MACD line consistently below the signal line, suggesting a bearish momentum in the stock price. The MACD histogram has also been negative, indicating a decreasing trend.

In terms of moving averages, the stock price has been below both the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA), further confirming the bearish sentiment.

Overall, based on the indicators and moving averages, Kernex Microsystems seems to be in a bearish phase with a potential for further downside. Traders and investors may consider exercising caution or implementing risk management strategies in their positions.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company. Here is a summary of the key information:

1. Financials:
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow (TTM) is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow (TTM) is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance Sheet: Total cash (MRQ) is $67,150,000,128, total debt (MRQ) is $104,590,000,128, current ratio (MRQ) is 1.037, book value per share (MRQ) is $4.837, total cash per share (MRQ) is $4.379, and total debt to equity ratio (MRQ) is 140.968.
- Profit Margin: 26.306%
- Fiscal Year Ends: September 30, 2023
- Income Statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue (TTM) is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS (TTM) is $6.44, gross profit (TTM) is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share (TTM) is $24.537, net income to common (TTM) is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating Margin: 30.743%
- Return on Assets (TTM): 22.073%
- Return on Equity (TTM): 147.25%

2. Stock Statistics:
- Short Ratio: 1.66
- Float Shares: 15,308,320,742
- Shares Short: 94,308,265
- Average 10-Day Volume: 52,903,608
- Average 90-Day Volume: 62,823,269
- Shares Outstanding: 15,334,099,968
- Percent Held by Insiders: 5.22%
- Percent Held by Institutions: 57.555%
- Short Percent of Shares Outstanding: 0.62%

3. Valuation Metrics:
- PEG Ratio: 26.213
- Forward P/E: 26.213
- Trailing P/E: 29.429
- Enterprise Value: $2,948,462,018,560
- Price to Book (MRQ): 39.181
- Price to Sales (TTM): 7.615
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.745
- Enterprise to Revenue: 7.726
- Market Capitalization: $2,906,118,684,672

4. Stock Price Summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- 50-Day Moving Average: $173.6936
- 200-Day Moving Average: $180.7906
- 52-Week Low: $164.08
- 52-Week High: $199.62
- 52-Week Change: 8.253%

5. Dividends and Splits:
- Payout Ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend Date: May 16, 2024
- Last Split Date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-Dividend Date: May 10, 2024
- Last Split Factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $1
- 5-Year Average Dividend Yield: 0.73%
- Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 0.53%
- Trailing Annual Dividend Rate: $0.97
- Trailing Annual Dividend Yield: 0.51%

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were related to the transfer agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential decrease in profit margins.
3. The company's gross profit has fluctuated but generally increased from $105 billion in 2020 to $169.1 billion in 2023.
4. Operating income has shown an upward trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing over the years, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased from $3.28 in 2020 to $6.16 in 2023.
7. The company has been able to maintain a consistent number of outstanding shares over the years.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and income has been positive and improving.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments, machinery, and land improvements.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an overall positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been investing in both current and non-current assets to support its growth.
7. There is a consistent mix of cash, investments, and other assets in the company's portfolio.
8. The company has been managing its debt levels while maintaining a strong equity position.
9. Overall, the financial health of the company seems stable and growing steadily over the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, especially in common stock repurchases and long-term debt issuuance.
5. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but generally, the company has maintained a healthy cash balance.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a significant factor in the company's financial activities.
8. The company has been paying dividends consistently, with varying amounts each year.
9. The company has engaged in acquisitions and divestitures, impacting the investing cash flow.
10. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of stable and fluctuating financial activities over the years.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Number of Analysts: 26
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Number of Analysts: 25
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Number of Analysts: 39
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Number of Analysts: 39
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two fiscal years. It indicates growth in earnings compared to the previous year.

Revenue estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions about the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. It indicates a healthy growth trajectory for the company in the near term and beyond.

Price target

Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.

MACD of KERNEX

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link