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Analysis KFC Holdings Japan, Ltd. (9873)

6/1/2024

Analysis KFC Holdings Japan, Ltd. (9873)

Analysis of KFC Holdings Japan, Ltd. (9873)

Based on the provided data for the symbol '9873' of KFC Holdings Japan, Ltd., we can observe the following:

1. Price Movement:
- The closing prices have been relatively stable around 6480-6490 over the past few days.
- The prices have been consistently higher than the opening prices, indicating bullish momentum.

2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI (Relative Strength Index) is consistently high (above 70), indicating overbought conditions.
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) shows positive values, suggesting a bullish trend.
- Moving Averages (SMA, EMA, WMA) are all showing an upward trend, supporting the bullish momentum.

3. Overall Analysis:
- The stock seems to be in a strong bullish phase with high RSI and positive MACD values.
- The moving averages are also trending upwards, indicating a positive outlook for the stock.
- However, the high RSI values suggest that the stock may be overbought and could potentially see a correction in the near future.

In conclusion, KFC Holdings Japan, Ltd. (symbol '9873') appears to be in a bullish phase based on the technical indicators and price movements. Traders and investors should closely monitor the RSI levels for potential reversals and consider the possibility of a correction in the stock price.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuations metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow TTM of $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow TTM of $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash MRQ of $67.15 billion, total debt MRQ of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio MRQ of 1.037. The company's profit margin is 26.31%, with a fiscal year ending on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue TTM of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS TTM of 6.43.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 15.31 billion float shares and 99.29 million shares shorted. The stock has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book MRQ of 39.34 and price to sales TTM of 7.65. The company's market capitalization is $2.92 trillion.

The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, 50-day moving average of $176.26, 200-day moving average of $181.04, and a 52-week low of $164.08 and high of $199.62.

Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date of May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.

Revenue estimate

The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.

For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same period last year. The high estimate is $79,035,500,000, and the low estimate is $75,869,000,000.

Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $85,501,800,000, showing a sales growth of 3% from the previous year. The high estimate is $91,144,800,000, and the low estimate is $81,634,900,000.

For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous year. The high estimate is $364,505,000,000, and the low estimate is $350,189,000,000.

Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a significant sales growth of 6% from the current fiscal year. The high estimate is $403,636,000,000, and the low estimate is $353,721,000,000.

Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term, with analysts forecasting positive performance compared to the previous periods.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The current year growth rate is 7.6%
- The next quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%

It can be observed that the company is expected to experience a significant increase in growth rate from the past 5 years to the next 5 years. The growth rates for the current and next quarter are the same, indicating a steady growth pattern in the short term.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a wide range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below the median and average forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making investment decisions.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown an increasing trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been growing consistently, with the company reporting a net income of $57.4 billion in 2020 and $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years.
6. The company has been able to manage its operating expenses effectively, as seen in the growth of net income despite increasing revenues.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and improving over the years.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated but generally show an increasing trend.
3. Non-current assets have also been increasing steadily.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has been increasing over the years, indicating a positive trend in the company's financial health.
6. The company has been investing more in non-current assets like investments and advances, machinery, furniture, and equipment.
7. The company has been relying more on long-term debt to finance its operations.
8. The company has been managing its current liabilities effectively, with a balanced mix of short-term debt and accounts payable.
9. The company has been retaining earnings and increasing shareholders' equity, which is a positive sign for investors.
10. Overall, the financial position of the company seems to be stable and improving over the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, especially in common stock repurchases and long-term debt issuuance.
5. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but generally, the company has maintained a healthy cash reserve.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a significant factor in the company's financial activities.
8. The company has been paying dividends consistently, with varying amounts each year.
9. The company has engaged in acquisitions and divestitures, impacting the cash flow statement.
10. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of stable operational performance, strategic financial decisions, and market-driven fluctuations.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.23
- Low Estimate: $1.18
- High Estimate: $1.26
- Year Ago EPS: $1.17
- Number of Analysts: 27

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.42
- Low Estimate: $1.33
- High Estimate: $1.51
- Year Ago EPS: $1.35
- Number of Analysts: 26

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.10
- Low Estimate: $5.95
- High Estimate: $6.41
- Year Ago EPS: $5.67
- Number of Analysts: 40

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $6.69
- Low Estimate: $5.92
- High Estimate: $7.31
- Year Ago EPS: $6.10
- Number of Analysts: 40

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share both for the upcoming quarters and the next year compared to the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates also indicates a good level of coverage and consensus in the projections.

MACD of 9873

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link