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Analysis KFC, Ltd. (3420)

5/30/2024

Analysis KFC, Ltd. (3420)

Analysis of KFC, Ltd. (3420)

KFC, Ltd. is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data. Here are some key points from the analysis:

1. Price Movement: The closing prices have been fluctuating between 1355 and 1520 over the past few days, indicating some volatility in the stock.

2. RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating between 22.18 and 52.21, showing some variability in the momentum of the stock.

3. MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) values have been negative, indicating a bearish trend in the stock. However, the MACD histogram has shown some positive values on certain days, suggesting potential reversal points.

4. Moving Averages: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) values have been relatively close to each other, indicating a stable trend in the stock.

Overall, KFC, Ltd. seems to be experiencing some volatility in its stock price with mixed signals from the technical indicators. Traders and investors may want to closely monitor the stock for potential trading opportunities.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024. The company shows good returns on assets and equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows volatility with a beta of 1.264 and a 52-week change of 6.853%. The company has paid dividends and undergone stock splits in the past.

Valuation metrics indicate a high PEG ratio and price-to-book ratio, with the stock trading at a relatively high forward and trailing P/E ratio. The enterprise value, market capitalization, and other valuation ratios suggest the stock may be considered expensive by some investors.

Overall, the data provides a comprehensive overview of the company's financial health, stock performance, valuation, and dividend history.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, suggesting efficient cost control measures.
4. Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) have shown an upward trend, reaching $117.7 billion in 2023 from $69.9 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin over the years, indicating operational efficiency.
7. Diluted earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
8. The company's effective tax rate has remained relatively stable, allowing for consistent net income growth.
9. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and improving over the years.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released After Hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, indicating growth in the company's overall value.
2. Current assets fluctuate slightly from year to year, with some components like cash and cash equivalents showing variations.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, especially in investments and advances.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to total assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an overall increasing trend, which is a positive sign for the company's financial health.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts, with fluctuations in different types of liabilities.
7. The company seems to be investing more in non-current assets like machinery, furniture, and equipment, which could indicate expansion or modernization efforts.
8. Retained earnings have been positive in most years, contributing to the growth in shareholders' equity.
9. The company has been maintaining a balance between its assets and liabilities, ensuring stability in its financial structure.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant changes each year, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance.
6. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities seem to be dynamic, with strategic decisions impacting its cash flow position.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in expected earnings per share both quarterly and annually, with an increase projected for the upcoming periods compared to the previous year. It indicates potential growth and improvement in the company's financial performance according to analysts' forecasts.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates indicate a generally positive outlook for the company, with expected growth in both quarterly and annual sales over the coming periods.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11% per annum.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the historical average. However, the company is still projected to experience solid growth both in the short and long term according to analyst consensus.

Price target

Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.

MACD of 3420

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link