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Analysis Kikkoman Corporation (2801)

5/27/2024

Analysis Kikkoman Corporation (2801)

Analysis of Kikkoman Corporation (2801)

Kikkoman Corporation (symbol: 2801) has been showing a downward trend in its stock price over the past few days. The RSI indicator has been consistently below 50, indicating a bearish momentum in the market. The MACD indicator has also been negative, with the MACD line below the signal line, suggesting a potential further decline in the stock price.

The Moving Average (MA) indicator has been above the stock price, acting as a resistance level. The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have all been trending downwards, reflecting the overall bearish sentiment in the market.

Overall, based on the technical indicators, Kikkoman Corporation's stock seems to be in a bearish phase, and investors may want to exercise caution or consider short-term trading strategies until a reversal in the trend is observed.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. On August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The average trading volume over 10 days is 52.90 million shares and over 90 days is 62.82 million shares. The stock has a market capitalization of $2.91 trillion.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward PE of 26.21, trailing PE of 29.43, price to book ratio of 39.18, and price to sales ratio of 7.62. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with enterprise to EBITDA ratio of 22.75 and enterprise to revenue ratio of 7.73.

The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, 50-day moving average of $173.69, 200-day moving average of $180.79, and a 52-week range from $164.08 to $199.62.

Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The company's dividend yield is 0.53% and the last split was a 4-for-1 split on August 31, 2020. The ex-dividend date is May 10, 2024, with a dividend date of May 16, 2024.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000

From these numbers, we can observe the following trends:
1. There was a significant increase in revenue from 2020 to 2021, indicating strong growth.
2. The revenue continued to grow in 2022, reaching its peak.
3. In 2023, there was a slight decrease in revenue compared to the previous year, but it still remained higher than the 2021 figures.

Overall, the company has shown a positive revenue trend over the past four years, with substantial growth and consistent performance.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, especially in terms of common stock repurchase and long-term debt issuance.
4. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
5. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but overall, the company has maintained a healthy cash balance.
6. Interest paid and income tax paid figures provide insights into the company's financial obligations.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a significant factor in the company's financial activities.
8. The company has been paying dividends consistently, with varying amounts each year.
9. The company has engaged in acquisitions and divestitures, impacting its investing cash flow.
10. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects the company's financial health, operational performance, and strategic decisions over the years.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share both for the upcoming quarters and the next year compared to the previous year's earnings. This indicates potential growth and improvement in the company's financial performance according to analysts' projections.

Revenue estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company over the specified periods, with the highest growth expected in the next fiscal year.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The current year growth rate is 7.5%
- The next quarter growth rate is 4.8%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.6%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 11%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.15%

It can be observed that the company is expected to experience a significant decrease in growth rate compared to the past 5 years, with a notable drop from 20.15% CAGR to 11% CAGR for the next 5 years. Additionally, there is a slight increase in growth rate from the current year to the next year. The quarterly growth rates also show fluctuations, with the next quarter having the lowest growth rate among the periods provided.

Price target

Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.

MACD of 2801

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link