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Analysis Kings Arms Yard VCT Plc (KAY)

5/24/2024

Analysis Kings Arms Yard VCT Plc (KAY)

Analysis of Kings Arms Yard VCT Plc (KAY)

Kings Arms Yard VCT Plc (KAY) has been trading at a relatively stable price of around 19.40 GBP per share over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 43.10, indicating a neutral sentiment in the market.

Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, the MACD line is slightly below the signal line, with a positive histogram, suggesting a potential bullish momentum in the short term.

In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all around 19.40 GBP, indicating a consolidation phase in the stock price.

Overall, based on the current indicators, Kings Arms Yard VCT Plc seems to be in a neutral phase with a potential for a bullish momentum in the short term. Traders and investors may want to monitor the price action closely for any potential breakout or reversal signals.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, by the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

Financials:
- Cash flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit margin: 26.306%
- Fiscal year ends: September 30, 2023
- Income statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.44, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating margin: 30.743%
- Most recent quarter: March 31, 2024
- Return on assets TTM: 22.073999%
- Return on equity TTM: 147.25%

Stock statistics:
- Short ratio: 1.66
- Float shares: 15,308,320,742
- Shares short: 94,308,265
- Average 10-day volume: 52,903,608
- Average 90-day volume: 62,823,269
- Shares outstanding: 15,334,099,968
- Percent held by insiders: 5.22%
- Percent held by institutions: 57.555%
- Short percent of shares outstanding: 0.62%

Valuation metrics:
- PEG ratio: 26.213001
- Forward PE: 26.213001
- Trailing PE: 29.428572
- Enterprise value: $2,948,462,018,560
- Price to book MRQ: 39.181313
- Price to sales TTM: 7.6151557
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.745
- Enterprise to revenue: 7.726
- Market capitalization: $2,906,118,684,672

Stock price summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- 50-day moving average: $173.6936
- 200-day moving average: $180.7906
- Fifty-two week low: $164.08
- Fifty-two week high: $199.62
- Fifty-two week change: 8.253%

Dividends and splits:
- Payout ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend date: May 16, 2024
- Last split date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-dividend date: May 10, 2024
- Last split factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward annual dividend rate: $1
- 5-year average dividend yield: 0.73%
- Forward annual dividend yield: 0.5266761603816345%
- Trailing annual dividend rate: $0.97
- Trailing annual dividend yield: 0.5108758755701854%

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost control measures.
4. The operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. The net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, which suggests strong operational performance.
7. The company's tax expenses have also increased over the years, in line with the growth in revenue and income.
8. The basic and diluted earnings per share (EPS) have shown an upward trend, indicating improved profitability per share.
9. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and income has been positive and shows a growth trajectory.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a significant sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year.

Overall, the analysts are forecasting moderate to strong sales growth for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year, indicating positive performance and potential expansion for the company.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions about the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest that the company has experienced significant growth in the past but is expected to see a more moderate growth rate in the coming years, with a slight increase in the next year compared to the current year.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions regarding the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential upside according to the analysts' predictions.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate slightly each year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2023 at $73,812,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its growth.
7. There is a significant amount of debt in the company's capital structure, both short-term and long-term.
8. Retained earnings have been negative in some years, indicating losses or dividend payouts exceeding profits.
9. The company has been investing heavily in machinery, furniture, and equipment over the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its peak in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities reflect significant investments in the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational performance and strategic investments.

Earnings estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a range from $1.27 to $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is higher at $1.53, with a range from $1.44 to $1.63. This also indicates an increase from the EPS of $1.46 from a year ago.

3. Looking at the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, with a range from $6.43 to $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous year.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, with a range from $6.40 to $7.90. This forecast suggests an improvement from the EPS of $6.59 reported for the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years.

MACD of KAY

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link