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Analysis Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. (3038)

5/31/2024

Analysis Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. (3038)

Analysis of Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. (3038)

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. (3038) is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:

1. **Price Movement**: The stock price has been fluctuating between 3380 and 3450 in the recent days, showing some volatility but without a clear trend.

2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values are around 40-50, indicating a neutral sentiment without strong overbought or oversold conditions.
- **MACD Indicator**: The MACD line is below the signal line, suggesting a bearish signal. However, the MACD histogram is positive, indicating a potential reversal.
- **Moving Averages**: The stock price is currently below the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA), which could indicate a bearish sentiment.

3. **Overall**: The stock seems to be in a consolidation phase with mixed signals from technical indicators. Traders and investors may need to wait for a clearer trend to emerge before making significant decisions.

Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and should be supplemented with additional research before making any investment decisions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a decrease in quarterly revenue and earnings growth year over year.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has fluctuated between a fifty-two-week low and high, with a positive change over the period.

Valuation metrics show a high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio, with the company being relatively expensive based on price to book and price to sales ratios. The market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial compared to the revenue and EBITDA.

The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, and the range of prices over the past year.

Lastly, dividends and splits information reveals the company's dividend dates, payout ratio, and historical dividend yields. The company has also undergone a stock split in the past.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been fluctuating, with the highest in 2020 at $104.9 billion and the lowest in 2021 at $152.8 billion.
3. Operating income has also been varying, with the highest in 2020 at $66.3 billion and the lowest in 2021 at $108.9 billion.
4. Net income has shown an increasing trend, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable, with slight fluctuations over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a consistent number of outstanding shares.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be improving, with increasing revenues and net income over the years.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the data provided:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, indicating growth in the company's overall value.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with some years showing higher cash reserves and others showing higher inventory levels.
3. Non-current assets have generally increased, especially in investments and advances.
4. Total liabilities have also been on the rise, but at a slower pace compared to total assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown variations, with retained earnings playing a significant role.
6. The company seems to be investing heavily in non-current assets and maintaining a balance between current assets and liabilities.
7. Overall, the financial health of the company appears stable, with a focus on long-term growth and investment.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variations, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. The company's net income has been relatively stable, with fluctuations in other non-cash items such as depreciation and stock-based compensation.
8. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of stable operational performance, significant financing activities, and varying investing activities over the years.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years. The average estimates are showing growth compared to the year-ago EPS figures, indicating optimism among analysts regarding the company's performance.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates indicate a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still projected to be positive.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.

MACD of 3038

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link