Analysis Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. (3635)
6/3/2024
Analysis of Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. (3635)
Based on the provided data for Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. (symbol: 3635), here is a short analysis:1. Price Movement:
- The closing prices have been fluctuating over the past few days, ranging from 1410.5 to 1237.5.
- The stock closed at 1433.0 on the latest available date (2024-06-03), showing some volatility in the recent trading sessions.
2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI (Relative Strength Index) values have been fluctuating around the mid-range, indicating moderate price momentum.
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) values have been negative, suggesting a bearish trend in the short term.
3. Moving Averages:
- The stock's closing prices have been below the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) in the recent days.
4. Overall Assessment:
- The stock seems to be experiencing some volatility with a bearish bias based on the MACD indicator.
- Investors may need to closely monitor the price movements and key technical levels for potential trading opportunities.
Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and indicators, and it's essential to conduct further research and analysis before making any investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the quarter ending April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The results for the quarter ending February 27, 2025, are with the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending January 31, 2025, were reported after hours. The results for the quarter ending October 31, 2024, have not been provided at this time. The results for the quarter ending August 1, 2024, reported an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage held by institutions. The stock price has fluctuated between a fifty-two-week low and high, with a positive change over the period.
Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and price-to-book ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with moderate price-to-sales and enterprise-to-EBITDA ratios.
The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, and the range of prices over the past year.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield metrics. The company has a regular dividend payment schedule and has undergone a stock split in the past.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS):1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is also an increase from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This is a growth from the EPS of $5.67 in the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This indicates a potential increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing growth in both the quarterly and annual results over the specified periods.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, representing a 2% increase from the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
Looking ahead to the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a projected growth rate of 3% compared to the previous year. Again, 25 analysts have contributed to these estimates.
For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth rate from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates for the annual sales is 38.
In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth rate of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term, with a slightly more optimistic outlook for the next fiscal year.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still expected to be healthy.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the majority clustering around the median and average values. The current price is below both the median and average forecast, indicating that analysts generally expect the price to increase in the future. However, it's important to note that these are just forecasts and actual market conditions may vary.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Draw conclusions.Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2020 at $65,339,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current liabilities over the years, as seen in the increasing trend.
7. Cash and cash equivalents have been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $48,844,000,000.
8. Investments and advances have been increasing steadily, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $100,544,000,000.
9. Machinery, furniture, and equipment have also been increasing, with the highest value in 2023 at $78,314,000,000.
10. Accumulated depreciation has been increasing, indicating the aging of assets over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2021.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key metrics over the years.
MACD of 3635
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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