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Analysis Kyoshin Co., Ltd. (4735)

6/4/2024

Analysis Kyoshin Co., Ltd. (4735)

Analysis of Kyoshin Co., Ltd. (4735)

Kyoshin Co., Ltd. is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data. Here are a few key points from the analysis:

1. **Price Movement**: The closing prices have been fluctuating between 356 and 375, with the most recent closing price at 360. The stock seems to be trading in a relatively narrow range.

2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating around 40-60, indicating a moderate level of price momentum.
- **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) values have been negative, suggesting a bearish trend. However, the MACD histogram has been decreasing, which could indicate a potential reversal in the trend.
- **Moving Averages**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) values have been relatively close to each other, indicating a stable trend.

3. **Overall Sentiment**: The RSI values and MACD indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment in the short term. However, the decreasing MACD histogram could indicate a potential shift in momentum.

In conclusion, Kyoshin Co., Ltd. is currently experiencing a period of consolidation with a slightly bearish bias. Traders and investors may want to closely monitor the MACD histogram for any signs of a trend reversal.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. On August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow. The balance sheet shows a healthy current ratio, but a relatively high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are both positive, indicating profitability. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, with notable figures such as revenue, EBITDA, and net income.

Moving on to stock statistics, key metrics include short ratio, float shares, shares outstanding, and insider and institutional ownership percentages. The company's stock price summary provides information on beta, moving averages, and the range of stock prices over the past year.

Valuation metrics show metrics such as P/E ratios, enterprise value, price to book, and price to sales ratios. The market capitalization is also provided.

Lastly, dividends and splits information includes details on payout ratio, dividend dates, split history, and dividend yields.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This indicates an increase from the EPS of $1.35 from the same quarter last year.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 from the previous fiscal year.

4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a potential increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates indicate a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

These estimates indicate a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The current year growth rate is 7.6%
- The next quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 9.7%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.1%

It can be observed that the company is expected to experience a higher growth rate in the future compared to the current and past performance. The next year and next 5 years growth rates are projected to be the same at 9.7%, indicating a consistent growth trajectory in the medium term. However, the past 5 years have seen a significantly higher growth rate compared to the future estimates, suggesting a potential slowdown in growth or a period of exceptional performance in the past.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a wide range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end being $164, the high end being $275, and the average forecast at $204.58. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below the median and average forecast, indicating that the analysts are generally predicting an increase in the price of the security in the future.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown a consistent growth trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been increasing over the years, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA reaching $129.2 billion in 2023.
7. Despite an increase in income tax expenses, the company has managed to grow its net income continuously.
8. The company has been able to effectively manage its operating expenses, with a slight increase in research and development costs over the years.
9. Non-operating interest expenses have been relatively stable, with some fluctuations in non-operating interest income.
10. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained constant over the years.

Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be strong, with consistent growth in sales, income, and profitability metrics.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been investing more in non-current assets over the years, indicating potential long-term growth strategies.
7. The company has been relying more on long-term debt to finance its operations, as seen in the increasing trend of long-term debt in the liabilities section.
8. The company has been effectively managing its retained earnings, as seen in the positive values over the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase and issuance, as well as long-term debt issuance and payments.
4. Investing activities reflect significant amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments, with fluctuations in capital expenditures.
5. The end cash position has varied over the years, reaching its highest value in 2020.
6. Interest paid has also fluctuated, with the highest amount paid in 2023.
7. Income tax paid has shown variations, with the highest amount paid in 2021.
8. The company has been consistent in paying dividends to common shareholders.
9. Depreciation and stock-based compensation have been significant components of the operating activities.
10. Overall, the company's financial activities have shown a mix of stability and variability over the years.

MACD of 4735

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link