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Analysis Leverage Shares -1x Short Citigroup ETP (SCTE)

5/27/2024

Analysis Leverage Shares -1x Short Citigroup ETP (SCTE)

Analysis of Leverage Shares -1x Short Citigroup ETP (SCTE)

The Leverage Shares -1x Short Citigroup ETP is designed to provide investors with a -1x daily short exposure to the performance of Citigroup stock. This means that for each 1% decrease in the price of Citigroup stock, this ETP aims to increase in value by 1%.

Looking at the recent data for the ETP, we can see that the price has been fluctuating around the 6.20 level. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is around 62.50, indicating a slightly overbought condition but not extremely high. The Moving Average (MA) indicator is at 6.19, which is close to the current price, suggesting a relatively stable trend.

It's important to note that the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is not available for the recent data points, so we cannot analyze the momentum based on that.

Overall, based on the available data, the ETP seems to be trading in a relatively stable range with some potential for a slight pullback based on the RSI indicator. However, further analysis and monitoring of the market conditions are recommended before making any investment decisions.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost control measures.
4. Operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
7. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, indicating strong operational performance.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and improving over the years.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2023 at $62,146,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its growth.
7. There is a significant amount of debt in the company's capital structure, both short-term and long-term.
8. The company has been investing heavily in investments and advances as part of its non-current assets.
9. Retained earnings have been negative in some years, indicating losses or dividend payouts exceeding profits.
10. The company has been maintaining a significant amount of cash and cash equivalents over the years.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

1. Financials:
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance Sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit Margin: 26.306%.
- Income Statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.44, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating Margin: 30.743%.
- Return on Assets TTM: 22.073999%.
- Return on Equity TTM: 147.25%.

2. Stock Statistics:
- Short Ratio: 1.66.
- Float Shares: 15,308,320,742.
- Shares Short: 94,308,265.
- Average 10-Day Volume: 52,903,608.
- Average 90-Day Volume: 62,823,269.
- Shares Outstanding: 15,334,099,968.
- Percent Held by Insiders: 5.22%.
- Percent Held by Institutions: 57.555%.
- Short Percent of Shares Outstanding: 0.62%.

3. Valuation Metrics:
- PEG Ratio: 26.213001.
- Forward PE: 26.213001.
- Trailing PE: 29.428572.
- Enterprise Value: $2,948,462,018,560.
- Price to Book MRQ: 39.181313.
- Price to Sales TTM: 7.6151557.
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.745.
- Enterprise to Revenue: 7.726.
- Market Capitalization: $2,906,118,684,672.

4. Stock Price Summary:
- Beta: 1.264.
- 50-Day Moving Average: $173.6936.
- 200-Day Moving Average: $180.7906.
- 52-Week Low: $164.08.
- 52-Week High: $199.62.
- 52-Week Change: 8.253%.

5. Dividends and Splits:
- Payout Ratio: 14.93%.
- Dividend Date: May 16, 2024.
- Last Split Date: August 31, 2020.
- Ex-Dividend Date: May 10, 2024.
- Last Split Factor: 4-for-1 split.
- Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $1.
- 5-Year Average Dividend Yield: 0.73%.
- Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5266761603816345%.
- Trailing Annual Dividend Rate: $0.97.
- Trailing Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5108758755701854%.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating a positive trend in the company's core business operations.
3. The company has been consistently paying off interest and income taxes, which is a good sign of financial responsibility.
4. The end cash position has also been varying, but overall, it seems to be in a healthy range.
5. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, especially in terms of common stock repurchase and long-term debt issuance.
6. Investing activities have also seen fluctuations, with notable amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
7. The company has been paying dividends to common shareholders, but the amounts vary each year.
8. Stock-based compensation has been a significant factor in the company's financial activities.
9. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of stability and variability in its financial performance over the years.

Earnings estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a low estimate of $1.27 and a high estimate of $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.53, with a low estimate of $1.44 and a high estimate of $1.63. This also indicates growth compared to the EPS of $1.46 from a year ago.

3. For the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, with a low estimate of $6.43 and a high estimate of $6.92. This demonstrates an increase from the EPS of $6.13 from the previous year.

4. Looking ahead to the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, with a low estimate of $6.40 and a high estimate of $7.90. This suggests further growth compared to the EPS of $6.59 from the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. The company is projected to experience steady growth in the short term, with a significant increase in growth rate compared to the past year expected in the next year.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment S.A. at ul. Nowy Swiat 33/13, 00-029 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000895826, share capital in the amount of 201.4 mln PLN, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204