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Analysis Liontrust Asset Management PLC (LIO)

6/1/2024

Analysis Liontrust Asset Management PLC (LIO)

Analysis of Liontrust Asset Management PLC (LIO)

Liontrust Asset Management PLC (LIO) has shown a consistent uptrend in its stock price over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been consistently high, indicating that the stock may be overbought.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been positive, with the MACD line consistently above the signal line, suggesting bullish momentum. The MACD histogram has also been positive, indicating an increase in bullish momentum.

The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have all been trending upwards, further supporting the bullish trend.

Overall, based on the technical indicators, Liontrust Asset Management PLC appears to be in a strong bullish trend. However, investors should be cautious of a potential pullback due to the overbought RSI values.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000

From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a significant increase in revenue from FY 2020 to FY 2021, followed by a slight decrease in FY 2022 and another decrease in FY 2023.
- Despite the fluctuations, the company's revenue has generally been on an upward trajectory over the past four years.
- It would be important to analyze the reasons behind the fluctuations in revenue to understand the company's performance better and make informed decisions for the future.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to finance its operations over the years.
7. There is a significant amount of debt in the company's capital structure, both short-term and long-term.
8. Retained earnings have been positive in all years except for 2022, where they were negative.
9. The company has been investing heavily in machinery, furniture, and equipment as seen in the non-current assets section.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has a beta of 1.264 and has shown a slight increase over the fifty-two week period.

Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio, with the company being valued at a significant market capitalization. The price to book ratio is high, indicating a premium on the company's assets.

The stock price summary includes key metrics such as the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, as well as the fifty-two week low and high prices.

Lastly, the dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend dates, split history, and dividend yield metrics. The company has a consistent dividend payout and yield, with a recent split in August 2020.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase and issuance, as well as long-term debt issuance and payments.
4. Investing activities reflect significant amounts related to the sale and purchase of investments, with fluctuations in capital expenditures.
5. The end cash position has varied over the years, reaching its highest value in 2020.
6. Interest paid and income tax paid figures show variations, impacting the overall cash flow position of the company.
7. Stock-based compensation has also been a significant factor in the company's cash flow statement.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS):

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth compared to the EPS of $1.35 from the same quarter a year ago.

3. For the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 from the previous year.

4. Looking ahead to the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests growth compared to the EPS of $6.10 from the current year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.

For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same period last year. The estimates range from a low of $75,869,000,000 to a high of $79,035,500,000. There are 25 analysts providing these estimates.

Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $85,501,800,000, showing a sales growth of 3% year-over-year. The low estimate is $81,634,900,000, and the high estimate is $91,144,800,000, with 25 analysts contributing to these estimates.

For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $357,772,000,000, indicating a sales growth of 1% from the previous year. The estimates range from $350,189,000,000 to $364,505,000,000, with 38 analysts providing inputs.

Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a more significant sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The low estimate is $353,721,000,000, and the high estimate is $403,636,000,000, with 38 analysts involved in the forecasting process.

Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term, with analysts projecting positive but moderate increases in revenue.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slight decrease in growth rate compared to the past 5 years but still showing healthy growth prospects in the near future.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security paper is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security paper, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average forecast at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there may be potential for growth according to analysts.

MACD of LIO

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link