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Analysis LS 1x Pinduoduo Tracker ETC (PDD1)

6/3/2024

Analysis LS 1x Pinduoduo Tracker ETC (PDD1)

Analysis of LS 1x Pinduoduo Tracker ETC (PDD1)

Based on the provided data for the LS 1x Pinduoduo Tracker ETC, we can observe the following:

1. **Price Movement**: The closing prices have been relatively stable around 2.63 to 2.64 over the past few days.

2. **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values indicate that the market may be approaching oversold conditions, with values around 25 to 30 in recent days.

3. **Moving Averages**: The Moving Average (MA) indicators show a downward trend, with values decreasing over time.

4. **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators are not available for the provided data, indicating a lack of information on the momentum of the price movements.

5. **Overall Analysis**: The ETC seems to be trading in a relatively narrow range with a slight bearish bias, as indicated by the decreasing MA values and the RSI approaching oversold levels. However, the lack of MACD data makes it challenging to assess the momentum accurately.

Please note that this analysis is based on the limited data provided and may not capture the full picture of the ETC's performance. It is essential to consider additional factors and conduct a more in-depth analysis before making any trading decisions.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational performance and strategic investments.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.23
- Low Estimate: $1.18
- High Estimate: $1.26
- Year Ago EPS: $1.17
- Number of Analysts: 27

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.42
- Low Estimate: $1.33
- High Estimate: $1.51
- Year Ago EPS: $1.35
- Number of Analysts: 26

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.10
- Low Estimate: $5.95
- High Estimate: $6.41
- Year Ago EPS: $5.67
- Number of Analysts: 40

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $6.69
- Low Estimate: $5.92
- High Estimate: $7.31
- Year Ago EPS: $6.10
- Number of Analysts: 40

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in expected earnings per share both for the upcoming quarters and the next year compared to the previous year's performance. It indicates growth and confidence among analysts in the company's future profitability.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The current year growth rate is 7.6%
- The next quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 9.7%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.1%

It appears that the company has experienced a higher growth rate in the past compared to the estimates for the future. However, the growth rates for the next year and the next 5 years are expected to be consistent at 9.7%. It's important to note that these are analyst estimates and actual performance may vary.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, it can be observed that the analysts have a range of opinions regarding the future price of the security, with a median expectation of $201.43. The current price of the security is below both the median and average forecast, indicating a potential upside according to the analysts' predictions.

Earnings

The company's results for the quarter ending April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The results for the quarter ending February 27, 2025, are pending confirmation from the transfer agent. The results for the quarter ending January 31, 2025, were reported after hours. The results for the quarter ending October 31, 2024, have not been provided at this time. The results for the quarter ending August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.43.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 15.31 billion float shares and 99.29 million shares shorted. The stock has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34 and price to sales ratio of 7.65. The company's market capitalization is $2.92 trillion.

The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, 50-day moving average of $176.26, 200-day moving average of $181.04, and a 52-week range of $164.08 to $199.62.

Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date on May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales have been increasing over the years, from $274.52 billion in 2020 to $383.29 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been fluctuating, with the highest in 2023 at $169.15 billion and the lowest in 2020 at $104.96 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown an increasing trend, reaching $114.30 billion in 2023 from $66.28 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been on the rise, with $99.80 billion in 2022 and $96.99 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable, with slight fluctuations over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with the highest at $129.18 billion in 2023.
7. Despite fluctuations in other income and expenses, the company has been able to generate consistent net income from continuous operations.
8. The company has managed its operating expenses effectively, with fluctuations in different components over the years.
9. The company has been able to generate positive non-operating interest income, contributing to its overall profitability.
10. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained relatively stable over the years.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to finance its operations, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company has been able to maintain a positive shareholders' equity throughout the years, indicating a healthy financial position.

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link