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Analysis Lumen Technologies, Inc. (LUMN)

5/26/2024

Analysis Lumen Technologies, Inc. (LUMN)

Analysis of Lumen Technologies, Inc. (LUMN)

Lumen Technologies, Inc. (LUMN) has been showing some volatility in its stock price recently. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating around the mid-range, indicating a lack of strong momentum in either direction.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been hovering around the zero line, suggesting a balance between bullish and bearish signals. The MACD histogram has been positive in some cases, indicating potential bullish momentum.

In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have been relatively close to each other, showing a lack of clear trend direction.

Overall, Lumen Technologies, Inc. seems to be experiencing a period of consolidation and uncertainty in its stock price movement. Traders and investors may need to closely monitor key support and resistance levels for potential breakout opportunities.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value of $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value of $162,819,000,000 in 2019.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value of $234,386,000,000 in 2018.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value of $302,083,000,000 in 2022.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value of $107,147,000,000 in 2018.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations over the years.
7. There is a significant amount of debt in the company's capital structure, both short-term and long-term.
8. The company has been investing in leases, land, improvements, and machinery, furniture, and equipment to support its operations.
9. Retained earnings have been negative in some years, indicating losses or dividend payouts exceeding profits.
10. The company has been maintaining a significant amount of cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments in its current assets.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

Financials:
- Cash flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit margin: 26.306%
- Fiscal year ends: September 30, 2023
- Income statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.44, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating margin: 30.743%
- Most recent quarter: March 31, 2024
- Return on assets TTM: 22.073999%
- Return on equity TTM: 147.25%

Stock statistics:
- Short ratio: 1.66
- Float shares: 15,308,320,742
- Shares short: 94,308,265
- Average 10-day volume: 52,903,608
- Average 90-day volume: 62,823,269
- Shares outstanding: 15,334,099,968
- Percent held by insiders: 5.22%
- Percent held by institutions: 57.555%
- Short percent of shares outstanding: 0.62%

Valuation metrics:
- PEG ratio: 26.213001
- Forward PE: 26.213001
- Trailing PE: 29.428572
- Enterprise value: $2,948,462,018,560
- Price to book MRQ: 39.181313
- Price to sales TTM: 7.6151557
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.745
- Enterprise to revenue: 7.726
- Market capitalization: $2,906,118,684,672

Stock price summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- 50-day moving average: $173.6936
- 200-day moving average: $180.7906
- Fifty-two week low: $164.08
- Fifty-two week high: $199.62
- Fifty-two week change: 8.253%

Dividends and splits:
- Payout ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend date: May 16, 2024
- Last split date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-dividend date: May 10, 2024
- Last split factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward annual dividend rate: $1
- 5-year average dividend yield: 0.73%
- Forward annual dividend yield: 0.5266761603816345%
- Trailing annual dividend rate: $0.97
- Trailing annual dividend yield: 0.5108758755701854%

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Draw conclusions.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.

Earnings estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, compared to $1.26 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.27 and $1.36, based on 26 analysts' forecasts.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, compared to $1.46 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.44 and $1.63, based on 25 analysts' forecasts.

3. For the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, compared to $6.13 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $6.43 and $6.92, based on 39 analysts' forecasts.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, compared to $6.59 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $6.40 and $7.90, based on 39 analysts' forecasts.

Overall, it appears that analysts are generally forecasting an increase in earnings per share for the upcoming quarters and years, with some variability in the estimates provided by different analysts.

Revenue estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The company is expected to have a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year.
- For the next quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be 4.8%.
- In the current quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be 5.6%.
- The next year is expected to see a growth rate of 9.7%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is projected to have an annual growth rate of 11%.
- However, over the past 5 years, the company has had a higher annual growth rate of 20.15%.

These estimates suggest that the company is expected to experience steady growth in the near future, with a slightly higher growth rate projected for the next 5 years compared to the current year and next year. The past 5 years have shown even stronger growth for the company, indicating a positive trend in its performance.

Price target

Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.

MACD of LUMN

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link