Analysis M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. (0JW5)
5/30/2024
Analysis of M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. (0JW5)
M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. is showing some interesting technical indicators based on the provided data.1. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI values are consistently above 60, indicating that the stock may be in overbought territory. The RSI values have been gradually increasing, suggesting a strong bullish momentum.
2. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is above the signal line, indicating a bullish signal. However, the MACD histogram is showing a slight decrease, which could suggest a potential weakening of the bullish momentum.
3. Moving Averages: The stock price is consistently above the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA). This indicates a bullish trend in the stock price.
Overall, based on the RSI, MACD, and Moving Averages, M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. appears to be in a strong bullish trend with some signs of potential overbought conditions. Traders and investors may want to monitor the stock closely for any signs of a reversal in the trend.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two years. The average estimates are showing growth compared to the previous year's EPS figures, indicating a positive outlook for the company's financial performance.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with a slightly higher growth rate expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
These estimates suggest that the company has experienced significant growth in the past but is expected to see a more moderate growth rate in the coming years, with the next year showing a slightly higher growth rate compared to the current year.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of expectations for the future price of the security, with the average and median both indicating a price higher than the current price. The low end of the forecast suggests a potential decrease in price, while the high end indicates a significant increase. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making decisions about the security.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. On August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has fluctuated between a fifty-two-week low and high, with a positive change over the period.
Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and price-to-book ratio, while the forward and trailing P/E ratios are moderate. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with a reasonable price-to-sales ratio.
The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, and the range of prices over the past year. Dividends and splits information reveals the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield metrics.
Overall, the data provides a comprehensive overview of the company's financial performance, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price movements, and dividends and splits information.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has fluctuated slightly but remains relatively stable, indicating efficient cost management.
3. Operating income has also shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been increasing consistently, reflecting the company's profitability growth.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight variation but have generally increased over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, indicating strong operational performance.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenues has been positive and shows a growth trajectory.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on generating positive cash flows from operating activities.
MACD of 0JW5
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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