Analysis Mahanagar Gas Limited (MGL)
6/1/2024
Analysis of Mahanagar Gas Limited (MGL)
Mahanagar Gas Limited (MGL) has been showing a downward trend in the recent days. The closing prices have been fluctuating between 1280.00 and 1325.00. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been indicating a slightly bearish sentiment, hovering around 40-43, suggesting a neutral to slightly bearish market momentum.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been negative, with the MACD line consistently below the signal line. This indicates a bearish trend in the stock prices. The MACD histogram has been showing negative values, further confirming the bearish sentiment.
In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have all been above the closing prices, indicating a downward trend in the stock prices.
Overall, based on the RSI, MACD, and moving averages, the short-term outlook for Mahanagar Gas Limited appears to be bearish. Traders and investors may consider exercising caution and closely monitoring the stock for any potential reversal in the trend.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is also an increase from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 from the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This indicates a potential increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts are forecasting growth in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years, suggesting positive performance and outlook for the company.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, representing a 2% increase from the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
Looking ahead to the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 25.
For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates has increased to 38.
In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% from the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 38.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in the upcoming quarters and years, with a slightly more optimistic outlook for the next fiscal year.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the past 5 years, but a slightly higher growth rate anticipated in the next 5 years compared to the current year.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average forecast at $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below the median and average forecast, indicating that there is potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were related to the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were reported After Hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows the stock's performance over the past year, including its beta, moving averages, and 52-week high and low.
Valuation metrics reveal the company's price-to-earnings ratios, price-to-book ratio, and other key financial indicators. The enterprise value, market capitalization, and other valuation measures provide insights into the company's market position.
Lastly, the dividends and splits information includes details about dividend rates, payout ratios, dividend yield, and historical split dates. This data can be useful for investors looking at the company's dividend policy and history.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: $274,515,000,000
From these numbers, we can observe the following trends:
- The revenue has been increasing steadily over the past four years.
- There was a significant jump in revenue from FY 2020 to FY 2021.
- The growth rate in revenue seems to have slowed down from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
These trends indicate a positive trajectory in terms of revenue generation, with some fluctuations in the growth rate over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.
MACD of MGL
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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