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Analysis mBank SA (MBK)

5/24/2024

Analysis mBank SA (MBK)

Analysis of mBank SA (MBK)

mBank SA (MBK) is showing a downward trend based on the recent data. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below 50 for all the dates, indicating a bearish momentum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is negative for all dates, with the MACD line below the signal line, suggesting a bearish signal.

The stock prices have been decreasing over the analyzed period, with the price closing at 638.40 on the most recent date. The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all above the closing price, indicating a bearish trend.

Overall, based on the RSI, MACD, and moving averages, the short-term outlook for mBank SA appears bearish. Traders and investors may consider exercising caution or implementing strategies to manage potential downside risk.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending on January 31, 2025, were reported after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The quarter ending on August 1, 2024, had an EPS estimate of 1.33.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The average 10-day trading volume is 52.90 million shares, while the average 90-day trading volume is 62.82 million shares. The stock has a market capitalization of $2.91 trillion.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward PE of 26.21, and trailing PE of 29.43. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.18 and price to sales ratio of 7.62. The stock has an enterprise to EBITDA ratio of 22.75 and enterprise to revenue ratio of 7.73.

The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, with a 50-day moving average of $173.69 and a 200-day moving average of $180.79. The stock's 52-week low is $164.08, 52-week high is $199.62, and the change in the past 52 weeks is 8.25%.

Lastly, in terms of dividends and splits, the company has a payout ratio of 14.93% and a forward annual dividend rate of $1. The ex-dividend date is May 10, 2024, with a dividend date of May 16, 2024. The stock had a 4-for-1 split on August 31, 2020. The 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73% and the trailing annual dividend yield is 0.51%.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been fluctuating, with the highest in 2020 at $104.9 billion and the lowest in 2021 at $152.8 billion.
3. Operating income has shown an upward trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight variation but have generally been stable over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with the highest at $129.2 billion in 2023.
7. Despite fluctuations in other income and expenses, the company has managed to increase its net income from continuous operations over the years.
8. The company has been effectively managing its operating expenses, with a slight increase in research and development costs but relatively stable selling, general, and administrative expenses.
9. Interest income and expenses have also been fluctuating but have not significantly impacted the company's overall profitability.
10. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained relatively stable over the years.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been paying a significant amount in income taxes each year, with a slight decrease in 2020.
4. Interest paid has also varied, with a notable increase in 2023 compared to previous years.
5. The company has been actively involved in financing activities, including common stock repurchases, debt issuances, and dividend payments.
6. Investing activities have seen fluctuations due to acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures.
7. The end cash position has shown an overall increasing trend, indicating the company's ability to generate and retain cash.
8. Stock-based compensation has been a significant factor in the company's financial activities each year.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in expected earnings per share both quarterly and annually, with forecasts indicating growth compared to the previous year. It's important to note that these are analyst projections and actual results may vary.

Revenue estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. The company is projected to experience steady growth in the upcoming quarters and years, indicating a positive outlook for its performance.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is $191.57, which is below the average and median forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making investment decisions.

MACD of MBK

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link