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Analysis McColl''s Retail Group PLC (MCLS)

5/29/2024

Analysis McColl''s Retail Group PLC (MCLS)

Analysis of McColl''s Retail Group PLC (MCLS)

McColl's Retail Group PLC (MCLS) has been trading at a consistent price of 0.01675 for the past several days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is at 0.00000, indicating a neutral position. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is also at 0.00000, suggesting a lack of momentum in the stock price.

Overall, based on the current data, McColl's Retail Group PLC seems to be in a period of stability with no significant price movements or clear signals from technical indicators. It would be important to monitor future price action and any potential developments that could impact the stock.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not supplied at the time. The results for August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The average 10-day volume is 52.90 million shares and the average 90-day volume is 62.82 million shares. The company has a market capitalization of $2.91 trillion.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward PE of 26.21, trailing PE of 29.43, and a price to book ratio of 39.18. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to sales ratio of 7.62, enterprise to EBITDA of 22.75, and enterprise to revenue of 7.73.

The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, 50-day moving average of $173.69, 200-day moving average of $180.79, a 52-week low of $164.08, and a 52-week high of $199.62.

Lastly, in dividends and splits, the company has a payout ratio of 14.93% and a forward annual dividend rate of $1, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been fluctuating, with a peak in 2021 at $152.8 billion and a dip in 2022 to $170.8 billion.
3. Operating income has shown an upward trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight variation but have generally been stable over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with a slight increase from $81 billion in 2020 to $129.2 billion in 2023.
7. Despite fluctuations in other income and expenses, the company has managed to increase its net income from continuous operations over the years.

Revenue estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11% per annum.

These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still projected to be positive.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, it seems that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $200. However, it's important to note that there is a wide range of forecasts, from $164 to $250. The current price of the security is below both the average and median forecast, indicating a potential upside according to analysts.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts effectively.
7. Accumulated depreciation has been significant, affecting the value of non-current assets.
8. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements over the years.
9. There is a consistent provision for risks and charges in the liabilities section.
10. Overall, the company's financial health seems stable and improving over the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been consistently positive, indicating that the company's core business operations are generating cash.
3. The company has been paying a significant amount in income taxes each year, with the highest amount paid in 2021.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities have had a significant impact on the company's cash flow, with large amounts being used for common stock repurchase and debt issuance.
6. Investing activities show a mix of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with varying levels of cash flow impact each year.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, which is higher than the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.27 and $1.36, as provided by 26 analysts.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, compared to $1.46 from the previous year. The estimates range from $1.44 to $1.63, based on 25 analysts' forecasts.

3. Looking at the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, an increase from the previous year's EPS of $6.13. The analysts' estimates range from $6.43 to $6.92, with insights from 39 analysts.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, with a range of estimates between $6.40 and $7.90. This forecast is based on the analysis of 39 analysts.

Overall, the analysts are predicting an increase in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years, indicating positive growth prospects for the company.

MACD of MCLS

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link