Analysis MediaAlpha Inc (MAX)
5/27/2024
Analysis of MediaAlpha Inc (MAX)
MediaAlpha Inc (MAX) is showing some interesting trends based on the recent data. Here are some key points from the analysis of MAX stock:1. **Price Movement**: The stock price of MAX has been fluctuating in the past few days, with the price closing at $18.26 on the latest trading day. The price has been moving within a range, showing some volatility.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 42.14, indicating that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold at the moment.
- **MACD Indicator**: The MACD line is below the signal line, with a negative value of -0.43. This suggests a bearish signal for the stock.
- **Moving Averages**: The Moving Average (MA) indicator is below the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA). This could indicate a downward trend in the stock price.
3. **Overall Sentiment**: The stock seems to be under some selling pressure based on the technical indicators. Traders and investors may want to monitor the stock closely for any potential trend reversal or further downside.
Please note that this analysis is based on the recent data available and market conditions can change rapidly. It's always recommended to conduct thorough research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The average 10-day trading volume is 52.90 million shares, while the average 90-day trading volume is 62.82 million shares. The stock has a market capitalization of $2.91 trillion.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward P/E of 26.21, and trailing P/E of 29.43. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price-to-book ratio of 39.18 and price-to-sales ratio of 7.62. The stock has an enterprise-to-EBITDA ratio of 22.75 and an enterprise-to-revenue ratio of 7.73.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, a 50-day moving average of $173.69, and a 200-day moving average of $180.79. The stock's 52-week low is $164.08, the high is $199.62, and the change over the past 52 weeks is 8.25%.
Lastly, in terms of dividends and splits, the company has a payout ratio of 14.93% and a forward annual dividend rate of $1. The stock's ex-dividend date is May 10, 2024, with a dividend date of May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73% and the trailing annual dividend yield is 0.51%.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years. The average estimates are showing an increase compared to the year-ago EPS figures, indicating potential growth in earnings for the company.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company over the specified periods.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.5%
- The next quarter growth rate is 4.8%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.6%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 11%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.15%
It can be observed that the company is expected to experience a significant increase in growth rate compared to the past 5 years, with a particularly high growth rate projected for the next 5 years. This indicates positive expectations and potential for expansion and development in the future.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential upside according to the analysts' predictions.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite fluctuations in other financial metrics, the gross profit has generally followed the trend of increasing sales revenue.
3. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA reaching $129.2 billion in 2023.
4. Net income has also shown an increasing trend, reaching $97 billion in 2023 from $57.4 billion in 2020.
5. The company has been able to manage its operating expenses effectively, as seen in the consistent growth of operating income.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years.
7. The company has been able to generate positive non-operating interest income, contributing to its overall profitability.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and improving over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020 and its lowest in 2022.
5. Financing activities show significant variability, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance/payments.
6. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities show a mix of stability in operations and variability in financing and investing decisions.
MACD of MAX
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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