Analysis Metalyst Forgings Limited (METALFORGE)
6/1/2024
Analysis of Metalyst Forgings Limited (METALFORGE)
Metalyst Forgings Limited, also known as METALFORGE, has been showing some interesting price movements and technical indicators in the past few days.Looking at the price action, we can see that the stock has been trading in a relatively narrow range between 4.1 and 4.6. The RSI indicator has been fluctuating around the 40-50 range, indicating a neutral sentiment in the market.
The MACD indicator has been hovering around the zero line, suggesting a lack of strong momentum in either direction. The moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA) have been relatively close to each other, indicating a lack of clear trend direction.
Overall, based on the current technical indicators, it seems that METALFORGE is experiencing a period of consolidation and indecision among traders. It would be important to monitor the price action and volume in the coming days to see if a clear trend emerges.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provides a comprehensive overview of the financial and stock-related metrics for a specific company. Here are the key points:1. **Financials**:
- **Cash Flow**: Operating cash flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) is $110,563,000,320, and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- **Balance Sheet**: Total cash on a quarterly basis is $67,150,000,128, total debt on a quarterly basis is $104,590,000,128, current ratio is 1.037, book value per share is $4.837, total cash per share is $4.379, and total debt to equity ratio is 140.968.
- **Profit Margin**: The profit margin is 26.306%.
- **Income Statement**: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.43, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth year-over-year is -2.2%.
- **Operating Margin**: The operating margin is 30.743%.
- **Return on Assets and Equity**: Return on assets TTM is 22.073999% and return on equity TTM is 147.25%.
2. **Stock Statistics**:
- **Short Interest**: Short ratio is 1.53, float shares are 15,308,320,742, shares short are 99,287,450, average 10-day volume is 46,860,048, average 90-day volume is 57,498,254, shares outstanding are 15,334,099,968, percent held by insiders is 5.22%, percent held by institutions is 57.589%, and short percent of shares outstanding is 0.65%.
3. **Valuations Metrics**:
- **Ratios**: PEG ratio is 26.319502, forward PE is 26.319502, trailing PE is 29.59409, price to book ratio MRQ is 39.3405, price to sales TTM is 7.646095, enterprise value is $2,950,762,332,160, enterprise to EBITDA is 22.763, enterprise to revenue is 7.732, and market capitalization is $2,917,925,650,432.
4. **Stock Price Summary**:
- **Market Performance**: Beta is 1.264, 50-day moving average is $176.2646, 200-day moving average is $181.0429, 52-week low is $164.08, 52-week high is $199.62, and 52-week change is 6.853%.
5. **Dividends and Splits**:
- **Dividend Information**: Payout ratio is 14.93%, dividend date is May 16, 2024, last split date is August 31, 2020 (4-for-1 split), ex-dividend date is May 10, 2024, forward annual dividend rate is $1, 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%, forward annual dividend yield is 0.5255%, trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, and trailing annual dividend yield is 0.5097%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has fluctuated slightly, with a peak in 2021 at $152.8 billion and a peak in 2023 at $169.1 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown an increasing trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been on the rise, with a significant increase from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years, indicating growth in profitability per share.
6. The company has been able to maintain a stable diluted shares outstanding count over the years, which is important for investors to assess the dilution impact on their ownership.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenues has been positive, showing growth in sales, profitability, and earnings per share.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,755,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $217,350,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $302,083,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
Overall, the company's assets and liabilities have been increasing over the years, with fluctuations in shareholders' equity.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase and issuance, as well as long-term debt issuance and payments.
5. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, capital expenditures, and other investing activities.
6. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020 and its lowest in 2022.
These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial performance and management of cash flows over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, representing a 2% increase from the same period last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 25.
For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates has increased to 38.
In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% from the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in the upcoming quarters and years, with a slightly more optimistic outlook for the next fiscal year.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.6% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter and the next quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be around 5.1%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is projected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.7%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company had a higher growth rate of around 20.1% per annum.
Overall, it seems that the company is expected to maintain a solid growth trajectory, with a slightly higher growth rate in the next 5 years compared to the current and previous periods.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security paper is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security paper, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.
MACD of METALFORGE
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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