Analysis Middlefield Banc Corp (MBCN)
6/4/2024
Analysis of Middlefield Banc Corp (MBCN)
Middlefield Banc Corp (MBCN) has been showing some interesting trends in the recent days based on the provided data:1. **Price Movement**: The stock price has been fluctuating between $21.03 and $24.22 over the past 10 days, showing some volatility in the short term.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating between 34.97 and 60.23, indicating some oscillation in the stock's momentum.
- **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) values have been negative, indicating a bearish trend. However, the MACD histogram has been showing some signs of improvement, moving towards the zero line.
- **Moving Averages**: The stock price has been below the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) over the past few days, suggesting a bearish sentiment.
3. **Overall Sentiment**: The RSI values suggest that the stock is not oversold or overbought, indicating a neutral sentiment. The MACD values show a bearish trend, but the MACD histogram is showing signs of potential reversal.
In conclusion, Middlefield Banc Corp (MBCN) seems to be experiencing some volatility with a slightly bearish bias in the short term. Traders and investors may want to closely monitor the MACD histogram for potential trend reversal signals.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company over the specified periods, with the highest growth expected in the next fiscal year.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.6%
- The next quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%
We can see that the company is expected to experience a significant increase in growth compared to the past 5 years, with a particularly strong growth rate projected for the next year. This indicates positive expectations for the company's performance in the near future.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $275, and the average at $204.58. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below the median and average forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making decisions about buying or selling the security.
Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024. The company shows good returns on assets and equity.
In terms of stock statistics, there is a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock has a beta of 1.264 and has been trading within a range over the past 52 weeks.
Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with high price to book and price to sales ratios. The enterprise value to EBITDA and revenue ratios are also notable.
The stock price summary includes moving averages, 52-week high and low prices, and the percentage change over the past year.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend dates, payout ratios, and historical dividend yields. The company has had a recent stock split and offers a forward annual dividend yield.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management strategies.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, suggesting efficient cost control measures.
4. Operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023, indicating overall profitability growth.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
7. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, reflecting strong operational performance.
8. The company's tax expenses have also increased in line with the growth in revenue and income.
9. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and shows a promising outlook for the future.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variability, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities show a mix of stability in operations and variability in financing and investing decisions.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a potential growth compared to the EPS of $6.10 for the current year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two fiscal years.
MACD of MBCN
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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