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Analysis MJ Gleeson PLC (GLE)

6/1/2024

Analysis MJ Gleeson PLC (GLE)

Analysis of MJ Gleeson PLC (GLE)

MJ Gleeson PLC (GLE) is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:

1. **Price Movement**: The stock price has been fluctuating between 540 and 590, with the latest closing price at 490. This indicates some volatility in the stock.

2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 34.17, which is below 30, indicating that the stock may be oversold.
- **MACD Indicator**: The MACD line is above the signal line, with a positive MACD histogram, suggesting a bullish signal.

3. **Moving Averages**:
- The Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 533.88, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 534.42, and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at 541.08. The stock price is currently below these moving averages, indicating a potential downtrend.

4. **Recent Performance**:
- The RSI has been increasing over the past few days, indicating a possible reversal in the stock's direction.
- The MACD histogram has been positive, showing bullish momentum.

In conclusion, based on the technical indicators and recent performance, MJ Gleeson PLC (GLE) may be in a short-term oversold position with potential for a bullish reversal. However, investors should closely monitor the stock's price movement and key levels for confirmation of a trend reversal.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow. The balance sheet shows a healthy current ratio, but a relatively high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are both positive, indicating profitability. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, with notable figures such as revenue, EBITDA, and net income.

Moving on to stock statistics, key metrics include short ratio, float shares, shares outstanding, and percentages held by insiders and institutions. The company's stock price summary provides information on beta, moving averages, and the range of the stock price over the past year.

Valuation metrics show ratios such as PEG ratio, forward PE, trailing PE, price to book, price to sales, and various enterprise value ratios. The market capitalization is also provided.

Lastly, dividends and splits data include payout ratio, dividend dates, split information, and dividend yield metrics. This information gives insights into the company's dividend policy and history.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the past four fiscal years:

- Fiscal Year 2020: $274,515,000,000
- Fiscal Year 2021: $365,817,000,000
- Fiscal Year 2022: $394,328,000,000
- Fiscal Year 2023: $383,285,000,000

From these numbers, we can observe the following trends:
1. There was a significant increase in revenue from FY 2020 to FY 2021, indicating strong growth.
2. The revenue continued to grow from FY 2021 to FY 2022, reaching the highest point in FY 2022.
3. There was a slight decrease in revenue from FY 2022 to FY 2023, suggesting a possible stabilization or slight decline in business activity.

Overall, the company has shown a positive revenue trend over the past four fiscal years, with substantial growth followed by a period of stabilization.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2023 at $217,350,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variability, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance/payments.
6. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, but there are fluctuations in different areas that may require further analysis and attention.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still expected to be healthy.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average forecast at $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below the median and average forecast, indicating that some analysts may expect the price to increase in the future.

MACD of GLE

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link