Analysis MODEC, Inc. (6269)
6/3/2024
Analysis of MODEC, Inc. (6269)
Based on the provided data for MODEC, Inc. (symbol: 6269), here is a short analysis:1. Price Movement:
- The closing prices for MODEC, Inc. have been fluctuating between 2682.00000 and 2805.00000 in the recent days.
- The stock opened at 2699.00000 on 2024-06-03 and closed at 2689.00000, showing a slight decrease in price.
2. Technical Indicators:
- Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been hovering around 30-40, indicating a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment in the market.
- Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram has been negative, suggesting a bearish trend in the stock price.
- The Moving Average (MA) indicator has been above the stock price, indicating a potential resistance level.
3. Moving Averages:
- The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have been trending downwards, suggesting a bearish sentiment in the short term.
4. Overall Sentiment:
- The stock seems to be in a short-term bearish phase based on the technical indicators and moving averages.
- Traders and investors may exercise caution and wait for a clearer trend before making trading decisions.
Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and should be supplemented with additional research before making any investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows the stock's performance over the past year, including its beta, moving averages, and the range between its fifty-two-week low and high.
Valuation metrics suggest that the stock may be overvalued based on its PEG ratio and price-to-earnings ratios. The enterprise value, market capitalization, and other metrics provide insights into the company's valuation.
Lastly, the dividends and splits information reveals details about the company's dividend payments, dividend yield, and historical stock splits. Key dates related to dividends and splits are also provided.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, suggesting efficient cost control measures.
4. Operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023, indicating overall profitability growth.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
7. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, indicating strong operational performance.
8. The company's tax expenses have also increased with the rise in income, which is a common trend.
9. Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be positive, with growth in revenue, income, and profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with cash and cash equivalents forming a significant portion.
3. Non-current assets consist of investments, property, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations but has generally been positive.
6. The company has been investing in non-current assets like investments and property.
7. The company has been managing its short-term debts and current liabilities effectively.
8. Accumulated depreciation has been significant in reducing the value of non-current assets.
9. The company has been relying on cash, short-term investments, and receivables for its current assets.
10. Retained earnings have been positive in most years, contributing to shareholders' equity.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include acquisitions, capital expenditures, and the sale/purchase of investments.
7. The company has been utilizing stock-based compensation as part of its operations.
8. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects the company's financial health and strategic decisions over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 from the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates show a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the quarterly and annual results over the specified periods.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company are as follows:1. **Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):**
- Average Estimate: $77,545,400,000
- Low Estimate: $75,869,000,000
- High Estimate: $79,035,500,000
- Sales Growth: 2%
- Year Ago Sales: $75,725,200,000
- Number of Analysts: 25
2. **Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):**
- Average Estimate: $85,501,800,000
- Low Estimate: $81,634,900,000
- High Estimate: $91,144,800,000
- Sales Growth: 3%
- Year Ago Sales: $82,854,600,000
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. **Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):**
- Average Estimate: $357,772,000,000
- Low Estimate: $350,189,000,000
- High Estimate: $364,505,000,000
- Sales Growth: 1%
- Year Ago Sales: $354,834,000,000
- Number of Analysts: 38
4. **Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):**
- Average Estimate: $380,772,000,000
- Low Estimate: $353,721,000,000
- High Estimate: $403,636,000,000
- Sales Growth: 6%
- Year Ago Sales: $357,772,000,000
- Number of Analysts: 38
**Key Takeaways:**
- The company is expected to experience steady sales growth in both the short term and long term.
- Analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future performance, with higher sales estimates for the next quarter and next year compared to the current periods.
- The number of analysts providing estimates has remained consistent across the different time periods, indicating continued interest in the company's financial performance.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.6%
- The next quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%
From these estimates, we can see that the company is expected to experience a significant decrease in growth rate compared to the past 5 years, with a more moderate growth rate projected for the next 5 years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end of the forecast at $164, the high end at $275, and the average forecast at $204.58. The current price of the security is $192.25, which falls below the average and median forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making decisions about buying or selling the security.
MACD of 6269
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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