Analysis Monex Group, Inc. (8698)
6/1/2024
Analysis of Monex Group, Inc. (8698)
Monex Group, Inc. is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data. Here are a few key points from the recent data:1. **Price Movement**: The closing prices have been fluctuating between 779 and 844, with some volatility in the price range. The stock closed at 779 on the latest trading day.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating around 40-50, indicating a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment in the market.
- **MACD Indicator**: The MACD line has been below the signal line, showing a bearish trend. However, the MACD histogram has shown some positive values in recent days, indicating a potential reversal.
3. **Moving Averages**:
- The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have been relatively close to each other, indicating a stable trend.
4. **Overall Sentiment**:
- The stock seems to be in a consolidation phase, with no clear trend in the short term. Traders may be cautious until a clear direction emerges.
It's important to consider other factors such as market conditions, news, and sector performance before making any trading decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuations metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.43. The operating margin is 30.74% and the return on assets and equity are 22.07% and 147.25% respectively.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The average trading volume over 10 days is 46.86 million shares and over 90 days is 57.50 million shares. The stock outstanding is 15.33 billion shares, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34, price to sales ratio of 7.65, enterprise to EBITDA ratio of 22.76, and enterprise to revenue ratio of 7.73. The market capitalization is $2.92 trillion.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, 50-day moving average of $176.26, 200-day moving average of $181.04, a 52-week low of $164.08, high of $199.62, and a 52-week change of 6.85%.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date on May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown a consistent growth trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been increasing over the years, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
6. The company has been able to manage its operating expenses effectively, as seen in the growth of operating income outpacing the increase in operating expenses.
7. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA increasing from $81 billion in 2020 to $129.2 billion in 2023.
8. The company's tax expenses have also increased in line with the growth in revenue and income.
9. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and shows a consistent growth trend.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the data provided:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current liabilities to finance its operations, as seen in the increasing trend over the years.
7. The company has been investing more in non-current assets, such as investments and advances, machinery, furniture, and equipment, which indicates potential long-term growth strategies.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, especially in common stock repurchases and long-term debt issuances.
4. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
5. The end cash position has been relatively stable, with some fluctuations due to the company's financial activities.
6. Interest paid has increased over the years, which could be a result of higher debt levels.
7. Income tax paid has also fluctuated, possibly due to varying levels of profitability.
8. Stock-based compensation has been a significant factor in the company's cash flow statement.
9. The company has been actively managing its cash flow through various financing and investing activities.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.23
- Low Estimate: $1.18
- High Estimate: $1.26
- Year Ago EPS: $1.17
- Number of Analysts: 27
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.42
- Low Estimate: $1.33
- High Estimate: $1.51
- Year Ago EPS: $1.35
- Number of Analysts: 26
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.10
- Low Estimate: $5.95
- High Estimate: $6.41
- Year Ago EPS: $5.67
- Number of Analysts: 40
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $6.69
- Low Estimate: $5.92
- High Estimate: $7.31
- Year Ago EPS: $6.10
- Number of Analysts: 40
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share both for the upcoming quarters and the next year compared to the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates also indicates a good level of coverage and consensus in the projections.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same period last year. The estimates range from a low of $75,869,000,000 to a high of $79,035,500,000. There are 25 analysts providing these estimates.
Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. The estimates range from $81,634,900,000 to $91,144,800,000, with 25 analysts contributing to the estimates.
For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous year. The estimates range from $350,189,000,000 to $364,505,000,000, with 38 analysts providing their projections.
Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a significant sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The estimates range from $353,721,000,000 to $403,636,000,000, with 38 analysts involved in forecasting.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the past 5 years. However, the company is still projected to maintain a healthy growth rate over the next year and the next 5 years according to analyst consensus.
Price target
Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57. It seems that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with the average and median estimates both higher than the current price.MACD of 8698
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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