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Analysis Nagaoka International Corporation (6239)

6/3/2024

Analysis Nagaoka International Corporation (6239)

Analysis of Nagaoka International Corporation (6239)

Nagaoka International Corporation (symbol: 6239) has been showing some fluctuations in its stock price recently. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been hovering around the mid-range, indicating a balanced market sentiment without any extreme overbought or oversold conditions.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been negative, suggesting a bearish trend in the short term. The MACD histogram has been decreasing, indicating a potential weakening of the bearish momentum.

In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have been trending downwards, reflecting the recent price declines.

Overall, Nagaoka International Corporation's stock seems to be facing some selling pressure based on the technical indicators analyzed. Traders and investors may want to closely monitor the stock for any potential trend reversals or further downside movements.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, but the details are only available through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has fluctuated between a fifty-two-week low and high, with a positive change over the period.

Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and price-to-book ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with moderate price-to-sales and enterprise-to-EBITDA ratios.

The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, and the range of prices over the past year. Dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield metrics.

Overall, the data provides a comprehensive overview of the company's financial performance, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price trends, and dividends and splits information.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

1. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000

From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- There was a steady increase in revenue from 2020 to 2022, with a significant jump between 2021 and 2022.
- However, in 2023, there was a slight decrease in revenue compared to the previous year.

These trends indicate a general growth in the company's sales over the past few years, with a minor dip in the most recent fiscal year.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts effectively.
7. Accumulated depreciation has been significant, affecting the value of non-current assets.
8. Provision for risks and charges has been relatively stable over the years.
9. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements consistently.
10. Overall, the financial stability and growth of the company seem to be well-maintained.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with some fluctuations in different areas that may require further analysis.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS):

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the current year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, showing a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year's same quarter. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, indicating a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates increases to 38.

4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a significant sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 38.

These estimates suggest a moderate but steady growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with a more significant increase expected in the next fiscal year.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The current year growth rate is 7.6%
- The next quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 9.7%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.1%

It appears that the company has experienced a higher growth rate in the past compared to the estimates for the future. However, there is still expected growth in the upcoming periods, with the next year showing a slightly higher growth rate compared to the current year. The next 5 years also indicate a steady growth trajectory according to analyst estimates.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast above the current price. However, there is a wide range between the low and high forecasts, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.

MACD of 6239

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link