Analysis Natera Inc (NTRA)
6/2/2024
Analysis of Natera Inc (NTRA)
Natera Inc (NTRA) has shown a slight decrease in the closing price over the past few days, closing at $106.53 on May 31st. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates a neutral sentiment at 59.20, suggesting that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is positive at 3.94, with the signal line at 4.10. The MACD histogram is negative at -0.16, indicating a potential bearish signal.
The Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) are close to each other, indicating a stable trend. The Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is slightly higher, suggesting a bullish bias.
Overall, the technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment for Natera Inc in the short term. Traders may want to monitor the stock closely for any potential trend reversals.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential challenge in maintaining profit margins.
3. The company's gross profit has fluctuated but generally increased over the years, reaching $169.1 billion in 2023.
4. Operating income has shown an upward trend, with the company generating $114.3 billion in 2023 compared to $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) have also been increasing, reaching $117.7 billion in 2023.
6. The net income has shown growth, with the company making $97 billion in 2023 compared to $57.4 billion in 2020.
7. The company has been able to maintain a stable number of outstanding shares over the years, which is important for investors.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and income has been positive, indicating growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the data provided:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate slightly from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2023 at $62,146,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its growth, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company has been financing its operations and growth through a combination of liabilities and shareholders' equity, with liabilities showing a steeper increase compared to shareholders' equity over the years.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows the stock's performance over the past year, including its beta, moving averages, and 52-week high and low.
Valuation metrics reveal the company's price-to-earnings ratios, price-to-book ratio, and other key financial indicators. The enterprise value, market capitalization, and other metrics provide insights into the company's valuation.
Lastly, dividends and splits information includes details about dividend rates, payout ratios, dividend yields, and historical split dates. This data can be useful for investors looking at the company's dividend policy and history.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, long-term debt issuance, and payments, with significant fluctuations in these values.
6. Investing activities indicate a mix of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with varying levels of cash flow from these activities each year.
7. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of operational, financing, and investing activities that have contributed to its financial position over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and fiscal years.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same period last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate increases to $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 25.
For the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate for total sales is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth compared to the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates increases to 38.
In the following year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate further increases to $380,772,000,000, with a significant growth rate of 6% compared to the current year. The number of analysts remains at 38.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in the upcoming quarters and years, with a slightly increasing number of analysts providing forecasts.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still expected to be healthy.
Price target
Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57. It seems that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with the average and median estimates both higher than the current price.MACD of NTRA
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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