Analysis Natoco Co., Ltd. (4627)
5/29/2024
Analysis of Natoco Co., Ltd. (4627)
Natoco Co., Ltd. seems to be a company whose stock symbol is '4627'. Based on the provided historical data, here are some key points from the analysis:1. Price Movement:
- The closing prices have been fluctuating between 1491.00 and 1516.00 over the past few days.
- There seems to be some volatility in the stock price, with fluctuations in the opening, low, and high prices as well.
2. Technical Indicators:
- The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values indicate that the stock is not oversold or overbought, hovering around 30-50 range.
- The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator shows negative values, suggesting a bearish trend in the stock price.
3. Moving Averages:
- The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) values are all showing a downward trend, indicating a potential bearish outlook.
4. Overall Assessment:
- The stock seems to be in a consolidation phase with some downward pressure based on the moving averages and MACD indicator.
- Investors may want to closely monitor the stock for any potential trend reversals or significant price movements before making any trading decisions.
Please note that this analysis is based on the provided historical data and should be used for informational purposes only. It is recommended to conduct further research and analysis before making any investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow. The balance sheet shows a healthy current ratio, but a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are both positive, indicating profitability. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, with notable figures such as EBITDA, revenue, diluted EPS, gross profit, and net income.
Moving on to stock statistics, key metrics include short ratio, float shares, shares short, average trading volumes, shares outstanding, and percentages held by insiders and institutions. The company's valuation metrics show metrics such as PEG ratio, forward and trailing P/E ratios, enterprise value, price to book, price to sales, and market capitalization.
The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, fifty-two week high and low, and the percentage change. Lastly, the dividends and splits information covers payout ratio, dividend dates, split dates, dividend rates, and yields.
Overall, these data points provide a comprehensive overview of the company's financial health, stock performance, valuation, and dividend history.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been fluctuating, with the highest in 2023 at $169.1 billion and the lowest in 2020 at $105 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown an increasing trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been on the rise, with the company making $99.8 billion in 2022 and $96.9 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable, with slight fluctuations over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with the highest at $129.2 billion in 2023.
7. Despite fluctuations in other income and expenses, the company has been able to generate consistent net income from continuous operations.
8. The company has managed its operating expenses effectively, with a slight increase over the years but not at the same pace as the revenue growth.
9. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue generation has been positive, showing growth and stability over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, especially in common stock repurchases and long-term debt issuuance.
5. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020 and its lowest in 2022.
These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial performance and management of cash flows over the years.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next year compared to the previous year's performance. It indicates growth and improvement in the company's financial performance as projected by the analysts.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still projected to be positive.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is $191.57, which is below the average and median forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making investment decisions.
MACD of 4627
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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