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Analysis NexGen Energy Ltd (NXE)

5/26/2024

Analysis NexGen Energy Ltd (NXE)

Analysis of NexGen Energy Ltd (NXE)

NexGen Energy Ltd (NXE) has been showing some volatility in its stock price over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating around the 50 mark, indicating a balanced market sentiment between buying and selling pressure.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been negative, suggesting a bearish trend in the stock price. The MACD histogram has been mostly negative, indicating a potential continuation of the bearish momentum.

The stock has been trading below the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) values, which could signal a bearish trend in the short term.

Overall, based on the RSI, MACD, and moving average indicators, NexGen Energy Ltd may continue to face downward pressure in the near future. Investors should closely monitor the stock for any potential trend reversals.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year.
- The growth rate is projected to increase to 5.6% in the current quarter and further to 4.8% in the next quarter.
- Over the next year, the growth rate is expected to reach 9.7%.
- Looking ahead, the company is forecasted to achieve an annual growth rate of 11% over the next 5 years.
- However, when comparing to the past 5 years, where the company had an annual growth rate of 20.15%, the future growth rate is expected to be lower.

Overall, the company is expected to maintain a positive growth trajectory, with a slight decrease compared to the growth rate achieved in the past 5 years.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating a potential upside according to the analysts' predictions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

1. Financials:
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance Sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit Margin: 26.306%
- Fiscal Year Ends: September 30, 2023
- Income Statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.44, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating Margin: 30.743%
- Return on Assets TTM: 22.073999%
- Return on Equity TTM: 147.25%

2. Stock Statistics:
- Short Ratio: 1.66
- Float Shares: 15,308,320,742
- Shares Short: 94,308,265
- Avg 10 Volume: 52,903,608
- Avg 90 Volume: 62,823,269
- Shares Outstanding: 15,334,099,968
- Percent Held by Insiders: 5.22%
- Percent Held by Institutions: 57.555%
- Short Percent of Shares Outstanding: 0.62%

3. Valuation Metrics:
- PEG Ratio: 26.213001
- Forward PE: 26.213001
- Trailing PE: 29.428572
- Enterprise Value: $2,948,462,018,560
- Price to Book MRQ: 39.181313
- Price to Sales TTM: 7.6151557
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.745
- Enterprise to Revenue: 7.726
- Market Capitalization: $2,906,118,684,672

4. Stock Price Summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- Day 50 MA: 173.6936
- Day 200 MA: 180.7906
- Fifty-Two Week Low: $164.08
- Fifty-Two Week High: $199.62
- Fifty-Two Week Change: 8.253%

5. Dividends and Splits:
- Payout Ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend Date: May 16, 2024
- Last Split Date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-Dividend Date: May 10, 2024
- Last Split Factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $1
- 5-Year Average Dividend Yield: 0.73%
- Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5266761603816345%
- Trailing Annual Dividend Rate: $0.97
- Trailing Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5108758755701854%

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000

From these numbers, we can observe that the company has experienced a steady increase in revenue from 2020 to 2022, with a slight decrease in 2023. This indicates a positive revenue growth trend over the years, although there was a slight dip in the most recent fiscal year.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, long-term debt issuance, and payments, with significant fluctuations in these values.
6. Investing activities indicate a mix of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with varying levels of cash flow from these activities each year.
7. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of operational, financing, and investing activities that have contributed to its financial position over the years.

Earnings estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a low estimate of $1.27 and a high estimate of $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.53, with a low estimate of $1.44 and a high estimate of $1.63. This indicates an increase from the EPS of $1.46 from the same quarter last year.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, with a low estimate of $6.43 and a high estimate of $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous fiscal year.

4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, with a low estimate of $6.40 and a high estimate of $7.90. This forecast suggests an increase from the EPS of $6.59 reported for the current fiscal year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the quarterly and annual results over the specified periods.

MACD of NXE

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link