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Analysis Next Fifteen Communications Group PLC (NFC)

6/3/2024

Analysis Next Fifteen Communications Group PLC (NFC)

Analysis of Next Fifteen Communications Group PLC (NFC)

Based on the provided data for NFC (Next Fifteen Communications Group PLC) stock:

1. Price Movement:
- The closing price has been fluctuating between 949.00 and 1036.00 over the past few days, showing some volatility in the stock.
- The stock closed at 1026.00 on the latest trading day, slightly lower than the previous day's close of 1030.00.

2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI (Relative Strength Index) is around 66.72, indicating that the stock is approaching overbought levels but still has some room for potential upside.
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is positive at 29.19, with the MACD line above the signal line, suggesting a bullish momentum.
- Both SMA (Simple Moving Average) and EMA (Exponential Moving Average) are showing an upward trend, indicating a positive momentum in the stock price.

3. Overall Analysis:
- The stock has shown a strong bullish trend recently, with RSI, MACD, and moving averages pointing towards a potential continuation of the uptrend.
- Investors may consider monitoring the stock closely for a potential entry point, keeping an eye on key support and resistance levels for making informed trading decisions.

Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and technical indicators, and it's essential to conduct further research and analysis before making any investment decisions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, but the time of the report was not specified. Before that, the results for January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results for August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024. The company shows good returns on assets and equity.

In terms of stock statistics, there is a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock has a beta of 1.264 and has been trading within a range between a fifty-two-week low and high.

Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with high price to book and price to sales ratios. The enterprise value to EBITDA and revenue ratios are also notable.

The stock price summary includes moving averages, fifty-two-week low and high prices, and the percentage change over the past year.

Dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend dates, split history, and dividend yield metrics. The company has a consistent dividend payout and yield.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential challenge in managing production costs or sourcing materials.
3. The gross profit margin seems to be relatively stable, with fluctuations likely due to changes in sales and cost structures.
4. Operating income has generally followed the trend of increasing sales, showing that the company is effectively managing its operating expenses.
5. Net income has also been increasing over the years, reflecting the company's ability to generate profits despite rising costs.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation, but overall, they have been on an upward trajectory, indicating growth in shareholder value.
7. The company's EBITDA has been increasing, suggesting that its operational performance and cash flow generation have been improving.
8. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBIT margin, indicating efficient cost management and profitability.
9. Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be positive, with consistent growth in revenue and profitability metrics.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value of $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value of $302,083,000,000 in 2022.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations over the years, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company has been financing its operations through a mix of liabilities and shareholders' equity, with both showing an increasing trend over the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show significant cash outflows, mainly due to common stock repurchases and debt payments.
5. Investing activities also show significant cash flows, with the company making investments through acquisitions and the purchase of investments.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but overall, the company has maintained a healthy cash balance.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a significant non-cash item each year.
8. The company has been paying dividends to common shareholders consistently.
9. The company has been issuing and repurchasing common stock, as well as issuing long-term debt.
10. The company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of operational, financing, and investing activities that impact its overall financial health.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS), we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This represents an increase from the EPS of $1.17 reported a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is higher than the EPS of $1.35 reported in the same quarter last year.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This shows growth from the EPS of $5.67 in the previous fiscal year.

4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This is an improvement from the EPS of $6.10 projected for the current fiscal year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.

For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is higher at $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year's same quarter. The number of analysts remains at 25.

For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates for the annual sales has increased to 38.

In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is projected to reach $380,772,000,000, indicating a significant growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.

Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term, with an increasing number of analysts providing forecasts for the future periods.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. It indicates a steady but slightly slower growth trajectory for the company in the near future.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast above the current price. However, there is a wide range of predictions, from a low of $164 to a high of $275, indicating some uncertainty in the market.

MACD of NFC

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

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Email address

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Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link