Analysis Nile Limited (NILE)
6/4/2024
Analysis of Nile Limited (NILE)
Nile Limited has shown some volatility in its stock price recently, with fluctuations between a high of 1471.00 and a low of 1022.30. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating between 25.70 and 58.40, indicating some level of price momentum.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been negative, suggesting a bearish trend in the stock price. However, the MACD histogram has shown some improvement, moving from -34.15 to 4.12, indicating a potential shift in momentum.
Overall, Nile Limited seems to be experiencing some price fluctuations and volatility, with mixed signals from the RSI and MACD indicators. It may be a good idea for investors to closely monitor the stock and wait for more clarity in the price trend before making any investment decisions.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, showing a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, showing a significant sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
These estimates indicate a positive outlook for the company, with expected growth in both quarterly and annual sales over the coming years.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The growth rate for the current quarter is estimated to be 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The growth rate for the next quarter is expected to increase slightly to 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The growth rate for the current year is projected to be 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The growth rate for the next year is forecasted to be 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): Over the past 5 years, the company has experienced a growth rate of approximately 20.1% per year.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): Looking ahead, the company is expected to maintain a growth rate of around 9.7% per year for the next 5 years.
These estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's growth, with a gradual increase in growth rates over the coming years compared to the past performance.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $201.43 and an average forecast of $204.58. However, it's worth noting that there is a wide range of forecasts, from a low of $164 to a high of $275. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below both the median and average forecasted prices.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results for August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a return on assets of 22.07% and return on equity of 147.25%. The company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The stock has a beta of 1.264, with an average 10-day volume of 46.86 million shares and an average 90-day volume of 57.50 million shares.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward P/E ratio of 26.32, and trailing P/E ratio of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a market capitalization of $2.92 trillion. The price to book ratio is 39.34, and the price to sales ratio is 7.65.
The stock price summary includes a 50-day moving average of $176.26, a 200-day moving average of $181.04, a 52-week low of $164.08, and a 52-week high of $199.62.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The company's dividend dates, split dates, and dividend yields are also provided.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite fluctuations in other financial metrics, the gross profit has generally followed the trend of increasing sales revenue.
3. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA reaching $129.2 billion in 2023.
4. Net income has also shown an increasing trend, reaching $97 billion in 2023 from $57.4 billion in 2020.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable over the years, with slight fluctuations but no significant downward trends.
6. The company has managed its operating expenses effectively, with operating income consistently growing over the years.
7. The company has been able to generate positive non-operating interest income, contributing to its overall profitability.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company, as indicated by its revenue figures, shows a positive growth trajectory and effective management of its operations.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, from $323.9 billion in 2018 to $352.8 billion in 2023.
2. Current assets have fluctuated but generally increased, with the highest value in 2023 at $143.6 billion.
3. Non-current assets have also shown an increasing trend, reaching $209 billion in 2023.
4. Total liabilities have been increasing steadily, from $255.4 billion in 2018 to $290.4 billion in 2023.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2023 at $62.1 billion.
6. The company has been investing more in non-current assets over the years, indicating potential long-term growth strategies.
7. The company has been relying more on long-term debt to finance its operations, as seen from the increasing trend in long-term debt.
8. The company has been able to maintain a positive shareholders' equity throughout the years, indicating a healthy financial position.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, especially in common stock repurchases and long-term debt issuuance.
5. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but generally, the company has maintained a healthy cash balance.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a significant factor in the company's financial activities.
8. The company has been paying dividends consistently, with varying amounts each year.
9. The company has engaged in acquisitions and divestitures, impacting the investing cash flow.
10. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of stability and variability in its financial activities over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a growth trajectory from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing a trend of improvement and growth in the upcoming quarters and years.
MACD of NILE
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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