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Analysis Ninety One PLC (N91)

5/26/2024

Analysis Ninety One PLC (N91)

Analysis of Ninety One PLC (N91)

Ninety One PLC, based on the provided data, has shown some interesting trends in the past few days:

1. **Price Movement**: The closing prices have been fluctuating between 175.3 and 181.8, with some volatility in the price range. The stock closed at 175.0 on the latest trading day.

2. **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**: The RSI values have been hovering around 55-60, indicating a moderate level of buying and selling pressure. The latest RSI value is 56.05, suggesting the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.

3. **Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)**: The MACD line has been above the signal line, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD histogram has been positive, showing upward momentum. The latest MACD value is 1.41.

4. **Moving Averages (MA)**: The stock price has been consistently above the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA), indicating a positive trend.

Overall, Ninety One PLC seems to be in a stable position with some bullish indicators in place. However, investors should keep an eye on the price volatility and monitor the RSI and MACD for any potential trend reversals.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.33.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.

1. Financials:
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance Sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit Margin: 26.306%.
- Fiscal Year Ends: September 30, 2023.
- Income Statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.44, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating Margin: 30.743%.
- Return on Assets TTM: 22.073999%.
- Return on Equity TTM: 147.25%.

2. Stock Statistics:
- Short Ratio: 1.66.
- Float Shares: 15,308,320,742.
- Shares Short: 94,308,265.
- Average 10-Day Volume: 52,903,608.
- Average 90-Day Volume: 62,823,269.
- Shares Outstanding: 15,334,099,968.
- Percent Held by Insiders: 5.22%.
- Percent Held by Institutions: 57.555%.
- Short Percent of Shares Outstanding: 0.62%.

3. Valuation Metrics:
- PEG Ratio: 26.213001.
- Forward PE: 26.213001.
- Trailing PE: 29.428572.
- Enterprise Value: $2,948,462,018,560.
- Price to Book MRQ: 39.181313.
- Price to Sales TTM: 7.6151557.
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.745.
- Enterprise to Revenue: 7.726.
- Market Capitalization: $2,906,118,684,672.

4. Stock Price Summary:
- Beta: 1.264.
- 50-Day Moving Average: $173.6936.
- 200-Day Moving Average: $180.7906.
- 52-Week Low: $164.08.
- 52-Week High: $199.62.
- 52-Week Change: 8.253%.

5. Dividends and Splits:
- Payout Ratio: 14.93%.
- Dividend Date: May 16, 2024.
- Last Split Date: August 31, 2020.
- Ex-Dividend Date: May 10, 2024.
- Last Split Factor: 4-for-1 split.
- Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $1.
- 5-Year Average Dividend Yield: 0.73%.
- Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5266761603816345%.
- Trailing Annual Dividend Rate: $0.97.
- Trailing Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5108758755701854%.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000

From these numbers, we can observe that the company has experienced a steady increase in revenue from 2020 to 2022, with a slight decrease in 2023. This indicates a positive growth trend in the company's top line.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value of $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash and cash equivalents.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations but generally follows an increasing trend.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current liabilities, such as long-term debt, to finance its operations.
7. The company has a substantial amount of cash and short-term investments, indicating liquidity and potential for future investments or acquisitions.
8. Accumulated depreciation is significant and has been increasing, indicating aging assets that may need replacement or upgrades in the future.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been consistently higher than free cash flow, indicating that the company is generating sufficient cash from its core operations.
3. The company has been paying a significant amount in income taxes each year, with the highest amount paid in 2021.
4. Interest paid has also varied over the years, with a noticeable increase in 2023 compared to previous years.
5. The company has been actively involved in financing activities, including common stock repurchases, debt issuances, and dividend payments.
6. Investing activities have also been significant, with the company making investments and acquisitions while also divesting assets.
7. The end cash position has fluctuated over the years, reaching its highest value in 2020 and its lowest in 2022.

These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial performance and strategic decisions over the years.

Earnings estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, with a low estimate of $1.27 and a high estimate of $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, with a low estimate of $1.44 and a high estimate of $1.63. This indicates an increase from the EPS of $1.46 from the same quarter last year.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, with a low estimate of $6.43 and a high estimate of $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous fiscal year.

4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, with a low estimate of $6.40 and a high estimate of $7.90. This forecast suggests an increase from the EPS of $6.59 reported for the current fiscal year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates indicate a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company over the specified periods.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11% per annum.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the historical average. However, the company is still projected to experience solid growth over the next few years according to analyst consensus.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security paper is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security paper, with the majority clustering around the median and average values. The current price is below both the median and average forecast, indicating that there may be potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.

MACD of N91

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link