Analysis Nippon India Mutual Fund (NIESSPL)
5/26/2024
Analysis of Nippon India Mutual Fund (NIESSPL)
Based on the provided data for Nippon India Mutual Fund (symbol: NIESSPL), here is a short analysis:1. Price Movement:
- The closing prices have been fluctuating between 0.62000 and 0.69000 over the past few days, indicating some volatility in the fund's performance.
- The fund's price closed at 0.62000 on the most recent trading day (2024-05-24), which was slightly lower than the previous day's closing price of 0.66000.
2. Technical Indicators:
- Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been hovering around 50, suggesting a balanced buying and selling pressure in the fund.
- Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has shown mixed signals with some days indicating positive momentum and others showing negative momentum.
3. Moving Averages:
- The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have been relatively close to each other, indicating a stable trend in the fund's price movement.
4. Overall Assessment:
- The fund seems to be experiencing some consolidation and uncertainty in its price movement.
- Traders and investors may need to closely monitor the technical indicators and moving averages for potential signals of a trend reversal or continuation.
Please note that this analysis is based on the provided historical data and should be considered as a general overview. It is recommended to conduct further research and analysis before making any investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were related to the transfer agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were reported after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not supplied. However, on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.1. Financials:
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance Sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit Margin: 26.306%
- Fiscal Year Ends: September 30, 2023
- Income Statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.44, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating Margin: 30.743%
- Return on Assets TTM: 22.073999%
- Return on Equity TTM: 147.25%
2. Stock Statistics:
- Short Ratio: 1.66
- Float Shares: 15,308,320,742
- Shares Short: 94,308,265
- Avg 10 Volume: 52,903,608
- Avg 90 Volume: 62,823,269
- Shares Outstanding: 15,334,099,968
- Percent Held by Insiders: 5.22%
- Percent Held by Institutions: 57.555%
- Short Percent of Shares Outstanding: 0.62%
3. Valuation Metrics:
- PEG Ratio: 26.213001
- Forward PE: 26.213001
- Trailing PE: 29.428572
- Enterprise Value: $2,948,462,018,560
- Price to Book MRQ: 39.181313
- Price to Sales TTM: 7.6151557
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.745
- Enterprise to Revenue: 7.726
- Market Capitalization: $2,906,118,684,672
4. Stock Price Summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- Day 50 MA: 173.6936
- Day 200 MA: 180.7906
- Fifty-Two Week Low: $164.08
- Fifty-Two Week High: $199.62
- Fifty-Two Week Change: 8.253%
5. Dividends and Splits:
- Payout Ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend Date: May 16, 2024
- Last Split Date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-Dividend Date: May 10, 2024
- Last Split Factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $1
- 5-Year Average Dividend Yield: 0.73%
- Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5266761603816345%
- Trailing Annual Dividend Rate: $0.97
- Trailing Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5108758755701854%
Revenue estimate
Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the past 5 years. However, the company is still projected to experience healthy growth both in the short term and the long term according to analyst consensus.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a wide range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is $191.57, which is below the average and median forecasted prices.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the past four fiscal years:- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000
From the data, we can observe the following trends:
1. There was a steady increase in revenue from 2020 to 2022, with a slight decrease in 2023.
2. The company experienced significant growth in revenue between 2020 and 2022, indicating positive performance.
3. Despite the slight decrease in revenue in 2023, the overall revenue trend shows a positive trajectory over the four years.
These insights suggest that the company has been successful in generating increasing revenue over the past four fiscal years, with a minor dip in the most recent year.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets have fluctuated over the years but have generally shown an increasing trend.
3. Non-current assets have also been increasing steadily, with investments and advances being a significant portion of the assets.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to total assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an increasing trend, indicating a positive retained earnings and overall financial health of the company.
6. The company has been investing in machinery, furniture, and equipment as part of its non-current assets.
7. Short-term debt and accounts payable are significant components of current liabilities.
8. Long-term debt is a major component of non-current liabilities.
9. The company has been managing its cash and cash equivalents effectively over the years.
10. The provision for risks and charges has been relatively stable over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been paying a significant amount in income taxes each year, with the highest amount in 2021.
4. The end cash position has also varied, reaching its peak in 2020 and its lowest point in 2022.
5. Financing activities have had a major impact on the cash flow, with significant amounts being used for common stock repurchase and debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities show a mix of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with varying levels of cash flow impact each year.
7. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a combination of operational stability, financial management decisions, and investment activities that have influenced its cash position over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, compared to $1.26 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.27 and $1.36, based on 26 analysts' forecasts.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, compared to $1.46 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.44 and $1.63, based on 25 analysts' forecasts.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, compared to $6.13 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $6.43 and $6.92, based on 39 analysts' forecasts.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, compared to $6.59 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $6.40 and $7.90, based on 39 analysts' forecasts.
Overall, it appears that analysts are generally forecasting an increase in earnings per share both for the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years compared to the previous periods.
MACD of NIESSPL
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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