Analysis Nippon Paper Industries Co., Ltd. (3863)
5/27/2024
Analysis of Nippon Paper Industries Co., Ltd. (3863)
Nippon Paper Industries Co., Ltd. (3863) has been experiencing a downward trend in its stock price over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is showing values below 30, indicating an oversold condition. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is also negative, suggesting a bearish momentum in the stock.The stock's price has been below the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) indicators, further confirming the bearish sentiment.
Investors should exercise caution when considering investing in Nippon Paper Industries Co., Ltd. as the technical indicators are currently signaling a bearish outlook for the stock.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, compared to $1.26 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.27 and $1.36, based on 26 analysts' forecasts.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, lower than the $1.46 reported a year ago. The estimates range from $1.44 to $1.63, with input from 25 analysts.
3. Looking at the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, up from $6.13 in the previous year. The low estimate is $6.43, while the high estimate is $6.92, based on forecasts from 39 analysts.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, compared to $6.59 in the prior year. The EPS estimates range from $6.40 to $7.90, with insights from 39 analysts.
Overall, the analysts are generally forecasting an increase in earnings per share for both the current and next fiscal years, with some fluctuations in the quarterly estimates.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, are with the Transfer Agent. The results for January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results for August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a relatively low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has fluctuated between a fifty-two-week low and high, with a positive change over the period.
Valuation metrics show a high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio, with the company's market capitalization and enterprise value being substantial. The price to book and price to sales ratios are also on the higher side, indicating potentially overvalued stock.
The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, and the range of prices over the past year.
Lastly, dividends and splits data show the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield metrics. The company has a regular dividend payout and has undergone a stock split in the past.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been fluctuating, with a peak in 2021 at $152.8 billion and a slight decrease in 2023 to $169.1 billion.
3. Operating income has shown an upward trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has also been increasing consistently, with a significant rise from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight variation but have generally been stable over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with a slight increase from $81 billion in 2020 to $129.2 billion in 2023.
7. Despite fluctuations in other income and expenses, the company has managed to generate strong net income from its continuous operations.
8. The company has been effectively managing its operating expenses, with a balanced allocation between research and development, and selling, general, and administrative expenses.
9. Non-operating interests have also been managed well, with a mix of income and expenses over the years.
10. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained relatively stable, indicating consistency in the company's capital structure.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2023 at $62,146,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its growth.
7. There is a significant amount of debt in the company's capital structure, both short-term and long-term.
8. The company has been investing heavily in machinery, furniture, and equipment over the years.
9. Retained earnings have been negative in some years, indicating losses or dividend payouts exceeding profits.
10. The company has been managing its cash and cash equivalents strategically, with fluctuations in different years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2021.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates indicate a generally positive outlook for the company, with expected growth in both quarterly and annual sales over the coming periods.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.5%
- The next quarter growth rate is 4.8%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.6%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 11%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.15%
It can be observed that the company is expected to experience a significant increase in growth rate compared to the past 5 years, with a particularly high growth rate projected for the next 5 years. This indicates a positive outlook for the company's future performance according to analyst estimates.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential upside according to the analysts' predictions.
MACD of 3863
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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