Analysis Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. (7201)
5/29/2024
Analysis of Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. (7201)
Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. (7201) has shown some volatility in its stock price recently. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around 50, indicating a neutral stance. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is negative, suggesting a bearish trend. However, the MACD histogram is showing signs of stabilization.The stock price has been fluctuating around the moving averages, with the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) all converging. This convergence could indicate a potential reversal or consolidation in the stock price.
Overall, Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. is currently in a neutral to slightly bearish position based on the technical indicators. Traders and investors may want to closely monitor the stock for any signs of a clear trend before making any trading decisions.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive outlook with an increase in earnings per share expected for both the current and next year compared to the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates also indicates a strong interest in the company's performance.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.5%
- The next quarter growth rate is 4.8%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.6%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 11%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.15%
It can be observed that the company is expected to experience a significant increase in growth rate in the next year compared to the current year. The long-term outlook also shows a positive trend with a projected CAGR of 11% for the next 5 years. However, the past 5 years have seen a higher growth rate compared to the current estimates.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is $191.57, which is below the median and average forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making decisions about buying or selling the security.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The company's financials show a strong cash flow, with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet indicates a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The book value per share is $4.837, total cash per share is $4.379, and the total debt to equity ratio is 140.968.In terms of profitability, the company has a profit margin of 26.31% and an operating margin of 30.74%. The return on assets is 22.07% and the return on equity is 147.25%. The fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023, with the most recent quarter ending on March 31, 2024.
From the income statement, we see an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, diluted EPS of 6.44, gross profit of $169.15 billion, revenue per share of $24.54, and net income to common of $100.39 billion. The company experienced a quarterly revenue growth of -4.3% and a quarterly earnings growth year-over-year of -2.2%.
In terms of stock statistics, the short ratio is 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The company has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.56% held by institutions. The short percent of shares outstanding is 0.62%.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward PE of 26.21, trailing PE of 29.43, enterprise value of $2.95 trillion, price to book ratio of 39.18, price to sales ratio of 7.62, enterprise to EBITDA of 22.75, enterprise to revenue of 7.73, and a market capitalization of $2.91 trillion.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, 50-day moving average of $173.69, 200-day moving average of $180.79, a 52-week low of $164.08, a 52-week high of $199.62, and a 52-week change of 8.25%.
Lastly, in terms of dividends and splits, the company has a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date on May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The company's EBITDA has also shown a consistent growth trend.
3. Net income has been increasing year over year, indicating improving profitability.
4. Despite fluctuations in other income and expenses, the company has managed to maintain a positive trend in net income.
5. The company has been able to control its operating expenses relative to its revenue growth.
6. Diluted EPS has shown a slight decrease in the most recent fiscal year, which could be a point of concern for investors.
7. The company has been able to generate positive EBIT and EBITDA consistently over the years, reflecting operational efficiency.
8. The basic and diluted shares outstanding have remained relatively stable over the years.
9. The company's gross profit margin has been relatively consistent, indicating effective cost management.
10. Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be on a positive trajectory, with a focus on revenue growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, from $323.9 billion in 2018 to $352.8 billion in 2023.
2. The company has been steadily increasing its shareholders' equity from $90.5 billion in 2018 to $62.1 billion in 2023.
3. The liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets, indicating a healthy financial position.
4. The company has a significant amount of non-current assets, mainly in investments and advances, which have been increasing over the years.
5. The company has been managing its current assets well, with a good amount of cash and cash equivalents on hand.
6. The company has been consistently investing in machinery, furniture, and equipment, as seen in the non-current assets section.
7. Overall, the financial health of the company seems to be stable and growing steadily over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its peak in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational performance and strategic investments.
MACD of 7201
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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