Analysis Nitto Kogyo Corporation (6651)
5/27/2024
Analysis of Nitto Kogyo Corporation (6651)
Nitto Kogyo Corporation, with the symbol 6651, has been showing some interesting price movements and technical indicators in the past few days:1. Price Movement:
- The closing prices have been fluctuating between 3495.00 and 3960.00 in the last 10 days.
- There seems to be some volatility in the stock price, with both highs and lows in the observed period.
2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI (Relative Strength Index) values have been relatively low, indicating a potential oversold condition in the market.
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) values have been negative, suggesting a bearish trend in the stock.
- Moving Averages (SMA, EMA, WMA) are showing a downward trend, indicating a potential bearish signal.
3. Overall Analysis:
- The stock seems to be in a bearish phase based on the technical indicators.
- Traders and investors may need to exercise caution and consider waiting for a more stable trend before making any trading decisions.
- It would be advisable to monitor the stock closely for any signs of a reversal or a more defined trend.
Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and technical indicators, and it's essential to conduct further research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not supplied at the time. The results for August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.Financials:
- Cash flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit margin: 26.306%
- Fiscal year ends: September 30, 2023
- Income statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.44, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating margin: 30.743%
- Most recent quarter: March 31, 2024
- Return on assets TTM: 22.073999%
- Return on equity TTM: 147.25%
Stock statistics:
- Short ratio: 1.66
- Float shares: 15,308,320,742
- Shares short: 94,308,265
- Average 10-day volume: 52,903,608
- Average 90-day volume: 62,823,269
- Shares outstanding: 15,334,099,968
- Percent held by insiders: 5.22%
- Percent held by institutions: 57.555%
- Short percent of shares outstanding: 0.62%
Valuation metrics:
- PEG ratio: 26.213001
- Forward PE: 26.213001
- Trailing PE: 29.428572
- Enterprise value: $2,948,462,018,560
- Price to book MRQ: 39.181313
- Price to sales TTM: 7.6151557
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.745
- Enterprise to revenue: 7.726
- Market capitalization: $2,906,118,684,672
Stock price summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- 50-day moving average: $173.6936
- 200-day moving average: $180.7906
- 52-week low: $164.08
- 52-week high: $199.62
- 52-week change: 8.253%
Dividends and splits:
- Payout ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend date: May 16, 2024
- Last split date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-dividend date: May 10, 2024
- Last split factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward annual dividend rate: $1
- 5-year average dividend yield: 0.73%
- Forward annual dividend yield: 0.5266761603816345%
- Trailing annual dividend rate: $0.97
- Trailing annual dividend yield: 0.5108758755701854%
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a significant increase in sales from FY 2020 to FY 2022, followed by a slight decrease in FY 2023.
- Overall, there has been a positive revenue growth trend over the past four years, indicating the company's ability to generate increasing sales.
- It is important to further analyze the reasons behind the fluctuations in revenue to understand the company's performance and market dynamics.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company over the specified periods.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year.
- For the next quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be 4.8%.
- In the current quarter, the growth rate is projected to be 5.6%.
- Over the next year, the growth rate is forecasted to be 9.7%.
- Looking ahead over the next 5 years, the company is expected to achieve an annual growth rate of 11%.
- However, when comparing to the past 5 years, where the company had an annual growth rate of 20.15%, there seems to be a slowdown in growth expected in the future.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security paper is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security paper, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating a potential opportunity for growth according to the analysts' predictions.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts effectively.
7. Accumulated depreciation has been significant, affecting the value of non-current assets.
8. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements over the years.
9. The provision for risks and charges has been relatively stable.
10. Overall, the company's financial health seems to be improving, with a focus on maintaining a strong equity position.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, especially in common stock repurchases and long-term debt issuances.
5. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020 and its lowest in 2022.
These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial performance and management of cash flows over the years.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and years, with the numbers generally increasing compared to the previous year's earnings. This indicates potential growth and improvement in the company's financial performance according to analysts' projections.
MACD of 6651
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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