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Analysis Noritsu Koki Co., Ltd. (7744)

5/29/2024

Analysis Noritsu Koki Co., Ltd. (7744)

Analysis of Noritsu Koki Co., Ltd. (7744)

Noritsu Koki Co., Ltd. is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:

1. **Price Movement**: The closing prices have been fluctuating between 3755.00 and 4170.00 over the past few days, indicating some volatility in the stock.

2. **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**: The RSI values have been consistently high, ranging from 72.72 to 82.55, suggesting that the stock may be overbought. This could potentially lead to a reversal in the stock price.

3. **Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)**: The MACD indicator has been positive, with the MACD line consistently above the signal line. The MACD histogram has also been showing an increasing trend, indicating bullish momentum.

4. **Moving Averages (MA)**: The stock price has been consistently above the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA), suggesting a bullish trend.

Overall, Noritsu Koki Co., Ltd. seems to be in a bullish phase based on the technical indicators, but the high RSI values may indicate a potential reversal in the stock price. Traders and investors should closely monitor the stock for any signs of a trend change.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024. The company shows good returns on assets and equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has a beta of 1.264, and the 52-week range shows a moderate change.

Valuation metrics reveal a high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio, with the company being relatively expensive based on price to book and price to sales ratios. The market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial.

The stock price summary includes moving averages, 52-week high and low prices, and beta.

Lastly, dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend dates, split history, and dividend yields. The company has a consistent dividend payout and yield.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, ranging from around 38% to 44%.
3. Operating income has also shown a consistent growth trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been increasing over the years, with a significant jump from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, indicating efficient operational performance.
7. Despite fluctuations in certain expenses and income components, the overall financial performance of the company seems to be positive and improving.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, peaking at $234,386,000,000 in 2018.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, with the highest value in 2018 at $255,355,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to finance its operations over the years.
7. There seems to be a stable increase in retained earnings, indicating profitability and reinvestment in the business.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase and issuance, as well as long-term debt issuance and payments.
5. Investing activities reflect significant transactions related to the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
6. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020 and its lowest in 2022.

These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial performance and management of cash flows over the years.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share both for the upcoming quarters and the next year compared to the previous year's earnings. This indicates potential growth and improvement in the company's financial performance according to analysts' projections.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates indicate a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions about the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest that the company has experienced significant growth in the past but is expected to see a more moderate growth rate in the coming years, with a slight increase in the next year compared to the current year.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the current price is below both the median and average forecasted prices. The analysts' opinions vary, with a wide range between the low and high estimates. The median forecast of $200 suggests a potential increase from the current price. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making investment decisions.

MACD of 7744

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link