Analysis Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (0VA3)
5/30/2024
Analysis of Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (0VA3)
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. is a mining company that focuses on developing mineral properties in the United States. Looking at the recent data for the stock symbol 0VA3, we can see the following trends:1. Price Movement: The stock price has been fluctuating between 0.32 and 0.38 over the past month, with some volatility in the middle of February.
2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been hovering around 50, indicating a neutral stance in terms of momentum.
- MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has been showing negative values, suggesting a bearish trend.
- Moving Averages: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have been relatively close to each other, indicating stability in the short-term trend.
3. Overall, based on the technical indicators, the stock seems to be in a consolidation phase with no clear trend direction. Traders and investors may want to wait for a clearer signal before making any significant trading decisions.
Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and does not guarantee future performance. It's always recommended to conduct thorough research and consider other factors before making investment decisions.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS), we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a low estimate of $1.27 and a high estimate of $1.36. This represents an increase from the EPS of $1.26 reported a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.53, with a low estimate of $1.44 and a high estimate of $1.63. This is slightly higher than the EPS of $1.46 reported in the same quarter last year.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, with a low estimate of $6.43 and a high estimate of $6.92. This shows growth from the EPS of $6.13 reported in the previous fiscal year.
4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, with a low estimate of $6.40 and a high estimate of $7.90. This is an improvement from the EPS of $6.59 reported in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the quarterly and annual results over the specified periods.
Revenue estimate
Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company over the specified periods.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11% per annum.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the historical average. However, the company is still projected to experience solid growth over the next few years according to analyst consensus.
Price target
Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57 USD.Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, by the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. On August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating good financial performance. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 31, 2024. The company shows a solid return on assets and return on equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock has a beta of 1.264 and has been trading within a range between its fifty-two-week low and high.
Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with a high price to book and price to sales ratios. The enterprise value to EBITDA and enterprise value to revenue ratios are also notable.
The stock price summary includes moving averages, fifty-two-week low and high prices, and the percentage change over the past year.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend dates, payout ratios, and dividend yields, as well as details on past stock splits.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From the data, we can observe the following trends:
- The company's revenue has been increasing steadily over the past four years.
- There was a significant jump in revenue from FY 2020 to FY 2021, followed by a further increase in FY 2022.
- The highest revenue was recorded in FY 2022, with a total of $394,328,000,000 in sales.
- The company has shown consistent growth in its top line, indicating a positive trajectory in its business operations.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value of $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and accounts receivable, with cash and cash equivalents showing fluctuations over the years.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, which have been increasing steadily.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, with the highest value of $302,083,000,000 in 2022.
5. Current liabilities include short-term debt and accounts payable, showing variations over the years.
6. Non-current liabilities consist mostly of long-term debt, which has been on the rise.
7. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations but has generally been increasing, with the highest value of $90,488,000,000 in 2019.
Overall, the company's financial position seems to be stable, with a positive trend in shareholders' equity despite increasing liabilities.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance.
4. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
5. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but overall, the company has maintained a healthy cash balance.
6. Interest paid and income tax paid have also varied over the years, reflecting changes in the company's financial obligations.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a significant factor in the company's financial activities, indicating a reliance on equity-based incentives for employees.
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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