Analysis Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (0UC3)
6/1/2024
Analysis of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (0UC3)
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (0UC3) has been showing some volatility in its stock price recently. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator has been hovering around the 45-50 range, indicating a neutral sentiment in the market.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been slightly negative, with the MACD line below the signal line. However, the MACD histogram has been showing some positive values, suggesting a potential reversal in the short term.
The stock price has been fluctuating around the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) indicators, indicating a lack of clear trend direction.
Overall, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. seems to be consolidating at current levels, with potential for a breakout in either direction depending on market sentiment and external factors affecting the cruise industry. Traders and investors should closely monitor key support and resistance levels for potential trading opportunities.
Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has fluctuated between a fifty-two-week low and high, with a positive change over the period.
Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and price-to-book ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with moderate price-to-sales and enterprise-to-EBITDA ratios.
The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, and the range of prices over the past year. Dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield metrics.
Overall, the data provides a comprehensive overview of the company's financial performance, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price trends, and dividends history.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a decrease in revenue from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
- Prior to FY 2023, there was a general trend of increasing revenue over the years.
- The highest revenue was recorded in FY 2022.
These trends can provide insights into the company's performance and may indicate areas that require further analysis or attention.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements, reflecting a focus on long-term growth.
7. There is a consistent level of short-term debt and accounts payable, which the company manages effectively.
8. Retained earnings have fluctuated but overall show a positive trend, contributing to shareholders' equity growth.
9. The company has been prudent in managing non-current liabilities and provisions for risks and charges.
10. Overall, the financial stability and growth of the company seem well-maintained over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been paying a significant amount in income taxes each year, with the highest amount in 2021.
4. The end cash position has also varied, reaching its peak in 2020 and its lowest point in 2022.
5. Financing activities have had a major impact on the cash flow, with significant amounts being used for common stock repurchase and debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities show a mix of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with varying levels of cash flow impact each year.
7. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of operational stability, financial management decisions, and investment activities that have influenced its cash position over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same period last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate increases to $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 25.
For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate for total revenue is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates increases to 38.
In the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate for total revenue is projected to be $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term, with an increasing number of analysts providing forecasts for the future periods.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slight increase in growth rate expected in the coming years compared to the current period. However, the growth rate is projected to be lower than the average growth rate observed in the past 5 years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the current price is below both the average and median predicted prices. The analysts' opinions vary, with a wide range between the low and high estimates. The median price of $200 could be considered a benchmark for the future price expectation.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.MACD of 0UC3
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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