Analysis of Nova System Co.,Ltd. (5257)
Nova System Co., Ltd. is currently trading under symbol 5257. In the recent trading days, the stock price has been fluctuating within a range. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is showing values below 50, indicating a bearish momentum in the stock.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is also in the negative territory, with the MACD line below the signal line. This further confirms the bearish sentiment in the stock.
Looking at the Moving Average (MA) indicator, the stock price is below the MA, indicating a potential downtrend.
Overall, based on the technical indicators, Nova System Co., Ltd. is currently showing signs of weakness in its stock price. Traders and investors may want to exercise caution and closely monitor the stock for any potential trend reversal or further downside movement.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:
1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and years, with an increase compared to the previous year's EPS in most cases. This indicates potential growth and improvement in the company's financial performance according to analysts' projections.
Revenue estimate
Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:
1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with a slightly higher growth rate expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be 5.6%, while for the next quarter it is projected to be 4.8%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is expected to achieve an average annual growth rate of 11%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company has actually achieved a higher average annual growth rate of approximately 20.1%.
Overall, it appears that the company is expected to maintain a solid growth trajectory in the coming years, although at a slightly lower rate compared to the past performance.
Price target
Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.
Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.
Financials:
- Cash flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit margin is 26.306%.
- Fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023.
- Income statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.44, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating margin is 30.743%.
- Most recent quarter is March 31, 2024.
- Return on assets TTM is 22.073999% and return on equity TTM is 147.25%.
Stock statistics:
- Short ratio is 1.66.
- Float shares are 15,308,320,742.
- Shares short are 94,308,265.
- Average 10-day volume is 52,903,608.
- Average 90-day volume is 62,823,269.
- Shares outstanding are 15,334,099,968.
- Percent held by insiders is 5.22% and percent held by institutions is 57.555%.
- Short percent of shares outstanding is 0.62%.
Valuation metrics:
- PEG ratio is 26.213001.
- Forward PE is 26.213001.
- Trailing PE is 29.428572.
- Enterprise value is $2,948,462,018,560.
- Price to book MRQ is 39.181313.
- Price to sales TTM is 7.6151557.
- Enterprise to EBITDA is 22.745.
- Enterprise to revenue is 7.726.
- Market capitalization is $2,906,118,684,672.
Stock price summary:
- Beta is 1.264.
- 50-day moving average is $173.6936.
- 200-day moving average is $180.7906.
- Fifty-two week low is $164.08.
- Fifty-two week high is $199.62.
- Fifty-two week change is 8.253%.
Dividends and splits:
- Payout ratio is 14.93%.
- Dividend date is May 16, 2024.
- Last split date is August 31, 2020.
- Ex-dividend date is May 10, 2024.
- Last split factor is a 4-for-1 split.
- Forward annual dividend rate is $1.
- 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%.
- Forward annual dividend yield is 0.5266761603816345%.
- Trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97.
- Trailing annual dividend yield is 0.5108758755701854%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:
1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite fluctuations in other financial metrics, such as net income and operating income, the trend in sales revenue shows consistent growth.
3. The company's gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost management despite the increase in sales.
4. The company's EBITDA has also shown a positive trend, increasing from $81.0 billion in 2020 to $129.2 billion in 2023.
5. Overall, the increasing sales revenue reflects the company's ability to generate higher income from its core business operations.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:
1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, from $323.9 billion in 2018 to $352.8 billion in 2023.
2. Current assets have fluctuated but generally increased, indicating improved liquidity.
3. Non-current assets have also shown an increasing trend, suggesting long-term investment and growth.
4. Total liabilities have been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an increasing trend, indicating a positive retained earnings position.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts effectively.
7. Overall, the financial position of the company seems to be improving over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:
1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include acquisitions, capital expenditures, and the sale/purchase of investments.
7. The company has been utilizing stock-based compensation as part of its operations.
8. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key metrics over the years.MACD of 5257