Analysis Nuvalent, Inc. (NUVL)
6/3/2024
Analysis of Nuvalent, Inc. (NUVL)
Nuvalent, Inc. is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data. Here is a brief analysis:1. **Price Movement**: The stock price of Nuvalent, Inc. has been fluctuating over the past few days, with the price closing at $72.06 today. There seems to be some volatility in the stock price, as seen from the price range between $71.75 and $74.30.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 57.82, indicating that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.
- **MACD Indicator**: The MACD line is below the signal line, with a value of -0.42. This suggests a bearish signal for the stock.
- **Moving Averages**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 68.82, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 68.95, and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at 68.57. These moving averages can help identify trends in the stock price.
3. **Overall Trend**: The stock seems to be trading in a range-bound pattern, with no clear trend in either direction. Traders and investors may want to wait for a clearer signal before making any significant trading decisions.
Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and should be supplemented with additional research before making any investment decisions.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Draw conclusions.Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the data provided:1. Total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have also shown variations, peaking in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have generally increased, with the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an overall increasing trend, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $62,146,000,000.
6. Cash and cash equivalents have fluctuated over the years, with the highest value in 2019 at $48,844,000,000.
7. Long-term debt has been increasing steadily, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $95,281,000,000.
8. Retained earnings have shown fluctuations but have generally increased, with the highest value in 2018 at $70,400,000,000.
These conclusions provide an overview of the financial position and performance of the company over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variability, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities show a mix of stability in operations and variability in financing and investing decisions.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This forecast suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two fiscal years.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same period last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate increases to $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 25.
For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates increases to 38.
In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate further rises to $380,772,000,000, indicating a significant sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in the upcoming quarters and years, with a more notable increase expected in the next fiscal year.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slight decrease in growth rate compared to the past 5 years but still showing healthy growth prospects in the near future.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast above the current price. However, there is a wide range of estimates, from a low of $164 to a high of $275, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were related to the transfer agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has fluctuated between a fifty-two-week low and high, with a positive change over the period.
Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and price-to-book ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with moderate price-to-sales and enterprise-to-EBITDA ratios.
The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, and the range of prices over the past year. Dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield metrics.
MACD of NUVL
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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