Analysis NZ Refining Co. Ltd. (NZRFF)
5/28/2024
Analysis of NZ Refining Co. Ltd. (NZRFF)
Based on the provided data for NZ Refining Co. Ltd. (NZRFF) for the past 10 days:1. **Price Movement**: The closing price has remained constant at 0.93000 for all 10 days, indicating stability in the stock price.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is consistently high at 89.14984, suggesting that the stock may be overbought.
- **MACD Indicator**: The MACD line is relatively stable around 0.00002, with the signal line slightly higher at 0.00003. The MACD histogram is negative, indicating a potential bearish signal.
3. **Moving Averages**:
- **SMA**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA) is constant at 0.93000.
- **EMA**: The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) has shown a slight decrease from 0.92996 to 0.92992 over the 10-day period.
- **WMA**: The Weighted Moving Average (WMA) has also remained constant at 0.93000.
4. **Overall Analysis**:
- The stock price has remained stable over the past 10 days.
- The RSI suggests that the stock may be overbought, while the MACD signals a potential bearish trend.
- Moving averages show a slight decrease in the EMA, but overall, the stock seems to be trading in a tight range.
5. **Recommendation**:
- Investors should closely monitor the stock for any signs of a breakout or reversal in the current trend.
- It is advisable to wait for confirmation from other technical indicators before making any trading decisions.
Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow. The balance sheet shows a healthy current ratio, but a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are both positive, indicating profitability. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, with notable figures such as revenue, EBITDA, and net income.
Moving on to stock statistics, we see details such as short ratio, float shares, shares outstanding, and insider and institutional ownership percentages. The company's stock price summary includes metrics like beta, moving averages, and the 52-week high and low prices.
Valuation metrics provide insights into the company's valuation multiples, such as P/E ratio, PEG ratio, price to book, and price to sales ratios. The enterprise value, market capitalization, and other key metrics are also included.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows dividend rates, yields, payout ratios, and important dates related to dividends and stock splits.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost control measures.
4. The operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. The net income has also been increasing, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023, showing a healthy growth in profitability.
6. The company has been able to maintain a consistent number of outstanding shares over the years, which is important for shareholders' equity.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and improving over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the data provided:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, indicating growth in the company's overall value.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with some years showing higher cash reserves and others showing higher inventory levels.
3. Non-current assets have generally increased, especially in investments and advances.
4. Total liabilities have also been on the rise, but at a slower pace compared to assets, which is a positive sign.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown variations, but overall it has been increasing steadily.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts effectively.
7. The company seems to be investing more in non-current assets like investments and advances, which could indicate future growth plans.
8. Accumulated depreciation has been consistently high, indicating significant wear and tear on the company's assets.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.
Earnings estimate
Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a low estimate of $1.27 and a high estimate of $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.53, with a low estimate of $1.44 and a high estimate of $1.63. This indicates an increase from the EPS of $1.46 from the same quarter a year ago.
3. For the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, with a low estimate of $6.43 and a high estimate of $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous year.
4. Looking ahead to the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, with a low estimate of $6.40 and a high estimate of $7.90. This suggests an increase from the EPS of $6.59 from the previous year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates indicate a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the quarterly and annual results over the specified periods.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. The current year growth rate is estimated to be 7.5%.
2. The next quarter growth rate is projected to be 4.8%.
3. The current quarter growth rate is expected to be 5.6%.
4. The next year growth rate is forecasted to be 9.7%.
5. The average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is estimated to be 11%.
6. The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years was approximately 20.15%.
These estimates suggest that the company is expected to experience moderate growth in the short term, with a slightly higher growth rate projected for the next year. However, the company's growth rate is expected to accelerate over the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the lowest estimate at $164, the highest at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is $191.57, which is below the average and median forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.MACD of NZRFF
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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