Analysis Ogura Clutch Co.,Ltd. (6408)
5/27/2024
Analysis of Ogura Clutch Co.,Ltd. (6408)
Ogura Clutch Co., Ltd. is currently showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:1. **Price Movement**: The closing prices have been fluctuating between 3235 and 3345, with some volatility in the past few days. The stock seems to be trading in a range-bound pattern.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values are around 40-50, indicating a neutral sentiment without any extreme overbought or oversold conditions.
- **MACD Indicator**: The MACD line has been crossing below the signal line, suggesting a bearish momentum. However, the MACD histogram is showing signs of stabilization.
- **Moving Averages**: The stock price is currently below the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA), indicating a short-term bearish trend.
3. **Overall Sentiment**: The stock seems to be consolidating after a recent uptrend, with some signs of weakness in the short term. Traders may want to monitor the price action closely for potential entry or exit points.
Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and indicators, and it's essential to conduct further research and analysis before making any investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.33.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.
Moving on to stock statistics, the short ratio is 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The company has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.56% held by institutions.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward P/E of 26.21, and trailing P/E of 29.43. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price-to-book ratio of 39.18 and price-to-sales ratio of 7.62. The company's market capitalization is $2.91 trillion.
In terms of stock price summary, the beta is 1.26, with a 50-day moving average of $173.69 and a 200-day moving average of $180.79. The 52-week low and high prices are $164.08 and $199.62, respectively.
Lastly, dividends and splits information include a payout ratio of 14.93%, a dividend date of May 16, 2024, and an ex-dividend date of May 10, 2024. The company had a 4-for-1 split on August 31, 2020. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been fluctuating, with a peak in 2021 at $152.8 billion and a slight decrease in 2023 to $169.1 billion.
3. Operating income has shown an upward trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight variation but have generally been stable over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with a slight increase from $81 billion in 2020 to $129.2 billion in 2023.
7. Despite fluctuations in other income and expenses, the company has managed to increase its net income from continuous operations over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two years. The average estimates are showing an increase compared to the year-ago EPS figures, indicating potential growth in earnings for the company.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates indicate a positive trend in sales growth for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year, showing confidence among analysts in the company's performance and potential for revenue increase.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be 5.6%, while for the next quarter it is projected to be 4.8%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is expected to achieve an average annual growth rate of 11%.
- However, in the past 5 years, the company has experienced a higher average annual growth rate of approximately 20.1%.
Overall, the company is expected to maintain a positive growth trajectory, with a slightly lower growth rate in the short term compared to the long-term average.
Price target
Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.MACD of 6408
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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