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Analysis Ohmura Shigyo Co.,Ltd. (3953)

5/24/2024

Analysis Ohmura Shigyo Co.,Ltd. (3953)

Analysis of Ohmura Shigyo Co.,Ltd. (3953)

Ohmura Shigyo Co., Ltd. (symbol: 3953) has been showing some interesting price movements and technical indicators in the past few days:

1. Price Movement:
- The stock price has been fluctuating between 772 and 784 in the last few days.
- The closing price has been around 780 in the most recent days.

2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI (Relative Strength Index) has been hovering around 45 to 52, indicating a neutral to slightly bullish sentiment.
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) has shown some positive movements, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line in recent days.
- Moving Averages (SMA, EMA, WMA) have been relatively close to each other, suggesting a stable trend.

3. Overall, the stock seems to be consolidating in a narrow range with some bullish signals from the MACD indicator. Traders and investors may want to monitor the price action closely for potential breakout or reversal signals in the coming days.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024. The company shows a good return on assets and return on equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a relatively low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has a beta of 1.264 and has shown a moderate change over the past fifty-two weeks.

Valuation metrics show a high PEG ratio and price-to-book ratio, indicating the stock may be overvalued. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with a moderate forward PE ratio.

Lastly, dividends and splits data show that the company pays dividends, with a forward annual dividend yield and a 5-year average dividend yield. The company has had a recent split and has upcoming dividend dates.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, with a range from $1.27 to $1.36. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, with a range from $1.44 to $1.63. This is slightly higher than the EPS of $1.46 from the same quarter last year.

3. For the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, with a range from $6.43 to $6.92. This indicates growth from the EPS of $6.13 for the previous year.

4. Looking ahead to the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, with a range from $6.40 to $7.90. This forecast suggests further growth compared to the EPS of $6.59 for the current year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11% per annum.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the historical average. However, the company is still projected to experience solid growth over the next few years according to analyst consensus.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions regarding the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57, which falls below both the median and average forecasted prices.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000

From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a significant increase in sales from 2020 to 2022, followed by a slight decrease in 2023.
- Overall, there has been a positive trend in revenue growth over the past four years, with the company consistently generating substantial sales.
- It would be beneficial to further analyze the factors contributing to the fluctuations in revenue between the years to better understand the company's performance and market dynamics.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets, resulting in a growth in shareholders' equity.
5. Shareholders' equity is composed of common stock, retained earnings, and other equity components.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts while investing in non-current assets for future growth.
7. The accumulated depreciation indicates the wear and tear on the company's assets over the years.
8. The provision for risks and charges has been relatively stable across the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its peak in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.

MACD of 3953

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link