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Analysis Okabe Co., Ltd. (5959)

5/28/2024

Analysis Okabe Co., Ltd. (5959)

Analysis of Okabe Co., Ltd. (5959)

Okabe Co., Ltd. is currently trading at around 779.00 JPY. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 47.85, indicating a neutral sentiment. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is negative at -3.96, with the signal line at -3.47, suggesting a bearish trend. The MACD histogram is negative at -0.50, showing a decrease in bearish momentum.

In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 783.44, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 782.01, and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at 781.57. The stock price is currently below these moving averages, indicating a short-term bearish trend.

Overall, based on the technical indicators, Okabe Co., Ltd. is currently showing signs of weakness in the short term, with a bearish bias in the MACD and moving averages. Traders and investors may want to monitor the stock closely for any potential trend reversals or further bearish movements.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company. Here is a summary of the key information:

Financials:
- Cash flow: Operating cash flow (TTM) is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow (TTM) is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance sheet: Total cash (MRQ) is $67,150,000,128, total debt (MRQ) is $104,590,000,128, current ratio (MRQ) is 1.037, book value per share (MRQ) is $4.837, total cash per share (MRQ) is $4.379, and total debt to equity ratio (MRQ) is 140.968.
- Profit margin: 26.306%
- Fiscal year ends: September 30, 2023
- Income statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue (TTM) is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS (TTM) is $6.44, gross profit (TTM) is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share (TTM) is $24.537, net income to common (TTM) is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating margin: 30.743%
- Return on assets (TTM): 22.073%
- Return on equity (TTM): 147.25%

Stock statistics:
- Short ratio: 1.66
- Float shares: 15,308,320,742
- Shares short: 94,308,265
- Average 10-day volume: 52,903,608
- Average 90-day volume: 62,823,269
- Shares outstanding: 15,334,099,968
- Percent held by insiders: 5.22%
- Percent held by institutions: 57.555%
- Short percent of shares outstanding: 0.62%

Valuation metrics:
- PEG ratio: 26.213
- Forward PE: 26.213
- Trailing PE: 29.429
- Enterprise value: $2,948,462,018,560
- Price to book (MRQ): 39.181
- Price to sales (TTM): 7.615
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.745
- Enterprise to revenue: 7.726
- Market capitalization: $2,906,118,684,672

Stock price summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- 50-day moving average: $173.6936
- 200-day moving average: $180.7906
- 52-week low: $164.08
- 52-week high: $199.62
- 52-week change: 8.253%

Dividends and splits:
- Payout ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend date: May 16, 2024
- Last split date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-dividend date: May 10, 2024
- Last split factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward annual dividend rate: $1
- 5-year average dividend yield: 0.73%
- Forward annual dividend yield: 0.5267%
- Trailing annual dividend rate: $0.97
- Trailing annual dividend yield: 0.5109%

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite fluctuations in other financial metrics, such as net income and operating income, the trend in sales revenue shows consistent growth.
3. The company's gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost management despite the increase in sales.
4. The company's EBITDA has also shown a positive trend, reaching $129.2 billion in 2023 from $81 billion in 2020.
5. Overall, the increasing sales revenue reflects the company's ability to generate higher income and maintain a strong market position.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, from $323.9 billion in 2018 to $352.8 billion in 2023.
2. Current assets have fluctuated but generally increased, indicating improved liquidity.
3. Non-current assets have also shown an increasing trend, suggesting long-term investment and growth.
4. Total liabilities have also been on the rise, from $255.4 billion in 2018 to $290.4 billion in 2023.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an overall positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current liabilities over the years.
7. Accumulated depreciation has been consistently negative, indicating ongoing asset depreciation.
8. The company has been investing more in machinery, furniture, and equipment as seen in the increasing values over the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its peak in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with some fluctuations in different areas that may require further analysis.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two years. The average estimates show an increase compared to the year-ago EPS figures, indicating potential growth in earnings for the company.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with a slightly higher growth rate expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions about the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. It indicates a healthy growth trajectory for the company in the near term and beyond.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, it seems that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median estimate of $200. However, it's important to note that there is a wide range of estimates, from $164 to $250. The current price of $191.57 is below both the average and median forecast, indicating a potential upside according to the analysts' predictions.

MACD of 5959

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link