Analysis Okayama Paper Industries Co., Ltd. (3892)
5/28/2024
Analysis of Okayama Paper Industries Co., Ltd. (3892)
Okayama Paper Industries Co., Ltd. (symbol: 3892) has been showing some fluctuations in its stock price recently. Here are some key points from the latest data:1. **Price Movement**: The stock price has been fluctuating between 1447.00 and 1483.00 in the past few days, with the closing price on the latest available date at 1476.00.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 46.18, indicating a neutral position.
- **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is negative at -21.81, suggesting a bearish trend.
- **Moving Averages**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 1492.24, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 1493.73, and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at 1484.14.
3. **Trend Analysis**: The stock seems to be in a slight downtrend based on the MACD indicator and moving averages.
4. **Overall Assessment**: Okayama Paper Industries Co., Ltd. is currently facing some selling pressure as indicated by the MACD and moving averages. Investors may want to monitor the stock closely for any potential trend reversal or further price declines.
Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and should be supplemented with additional research before making any investment decisions.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, which is higher than the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.27 and $1.36, as provided by 26 analysts.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, compared to $1.46 from the previous year's quarter. The estimates range from $1.44 to $1.63, based on 25 analysts' forecasts.
3. Looking at the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, an increase from the previous year's EPS of $6.13. The low estimate is $6.43, while the high estimate is $6.92, with insights provided by 39 analysts.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, with a range between $6.40 and $7.90. This forecast is based on the analysis of 39 analysts.
Overall, the analysts are predicting growth in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years, indicating positive expectations for the company's performance.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates indicate a generally positive outlook for the company, with expected growth in both quarterly and annual sales over the coming years.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11% per annum.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the historical average. However, the company is still projected to experience solid growth over the next few years according to analyst consensus.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is $191.57, which is below the median and average forecast, indicating that some analysts may expect the price to increase in the future.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at this time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow. The balance sheet shows a healthy current ratio, but a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are both positive, indicating profitability. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024. The company has a good return on assets and return on equity.
In terms of stock statistics, there is a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has a beta value, and the 52-week range is provided.
Valuation metrics show various ratios such as P/E ratio, PEG ratio, price to book, price to sales, and enterprise value multiples. The market capitalization is also provided.
The stock price summary includes moving averages, 52-week high and low prices, and the percentage change.
Lastly, dividends and splits information includes dividend dates, payout ratios, dividend yields, and details about past stock splits.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the past four years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown a consistent growth trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been increasing over the years, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA reaching $129.2 billion in 2023.
7. Despite an increase in income tax expenses, the company has managed to grow its net income continuously.
8. The company has been effectively managing its operating expenses, with a slight increase in research and development costs over the years.
9. Non-operating interest expenses have been relatively stable, while non-operating interest income has shown a slight increase.
10. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained constant over the years.
Overall, the financial performance of the company has been positive, with consistent growth in sales, income, and profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and accounts receivable, with cash and cash equivalents showing fluctuations.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, which have been increasing steadily.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown variations, with retained earnings being a significant component.
6. The company has been relying on a mix of short-term and long-term debt to finance its operations.
7. The provision for risks and charges has been relatively stable over the years.
8. Machinery, furniture, and equipment form a substantial part of the non-current assets.
9. The company has been investing in leases and land improvements as part of its non-current assets.
10. Overall, the financial health of the company seems stable, with a consistent growth in assets and liabilities.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing over the years, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.
MACD of 3892
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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