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Analysis Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL)

6/1/2024

Analysis Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL)

Analysis of Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL)

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL) has been showing a downward trend in the stock price over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been consistently below 50, indicating a bearish momentum in the stock.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been negative, with the MACD line below the signal line. However, the MACD histogram has shown some positive values, suggesting a possible reversal in the short term.

The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) indicators have all been above the current stock price, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market.

Overall, based on the technical indicators, Old Dominion Freight Line Inc may continue to face downward pressure in the near future. Traders and investors should closely monitor the stock for any signs of a trend reversal before making any investment decisions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuations metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.43.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 15.31 billion float shares and 99.29 million shares shorted. The stock has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34 and price to sales ratio of 7.65. The company's market capitalization is $2.92 trillion.

The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, 50-day moving average of $176.26, 200-day moving average of $181.04, and a 52-week range from $164.08 to $199.62.

Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date on May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The company has a forward annual dividend rate of $1, a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73%, and a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.

Revenue estimate

The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.

For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, representing a 2% increase from the same period last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. Again, 25 analysts have contributed to these estimates.

For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates for the annual sales is 38.

In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% from the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.

Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is slightly higher at 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The growth rate for the current year is estimated to be 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The growth rate for the next year is expected to increase to 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): Over the past 5 years, the company has shown a growth rate of approximately 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): Looking ahead, analysts project a growth rate of around 9.7% per annum for the next 5 years.

These estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company, with a gradual increase in growth rate expected in the upcoming periods compared to the current and past performance.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $200. However, there is a wide range of estimates, from a low of $164 to a high of $250. The current price of the security is below both the median and average forecast, suggesting that there may be potential for growth according to analysts.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000

From these numbers, we can observe that the company has experienced a steady increase in revenue from 2020 to 2022, with a slight decrease in 2023. This indicates a positive growth trend in the company's top line.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and accounts receivable, with a significant portion in cash and cash equivalents.
3. Non-current assets consist of investments, machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations but has generally been positive.
6. The company has been investing in non-current assets such as leases, land, and improvements.
7. There is a significant amount of short-term debt in the current liabilities.
8. Retained earnings have varied over the years, impacting shareholders' equity.
9. The company has been managing its cash and short-term investments effectively.
10. Accumulated depreciation is significant and affects the value of non-current assets.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variations, especially in common stock repurchases and long-term debt issuances.
6. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities show a mix of stability and fluctuations, indicating a dynamic financial strategy.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a further growth trajectory from the EPS of $6.10 in the current year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing a trend of improvement and growth in the upcoming quarters and years.

MACD of ODFL

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment S.A. at ul. Nowy Swiat 33/13, 00-029 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000895826, share capital in the amount of 201.4 mln PLN, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204