Analysis Open Orphan plc (ORPH)
6/1/2024
Analysis of Open Orphan plc (ORPH)
Open Orphan plc (ORPH) has been showing some volatility in its stock price over the past few days. The RSI indicator has been fluctuating around the mid-range, indicating a lack of strong momentum in either direction.The MACD indicator has been negative, suggesting a bearish trend, although the MACD histogram has been decreasing, which could indicate a potential reversal in the near future.
The moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA) have been trending downwards, indicating a bearish sentiment in the short term.
Overall, based on the technical indicators, Open Orphan plc seems to be in a consolidation phase with a slightly bearish bias. Traders and investors may want to closely monitor the stock for any signs of a trend reversal before making any trading decisions.
Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provides a comprehensive overview of the financial and stock-related metrics for a company. Here are the key points:1. **Financials**:
- **Cash Flow**: Operating cash flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) is $110,563,000,320. Levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- **Balance Sheet**: Total cash on a quarterly basis is $67,150,000,128. Total debt on a quarterly basis is $104,590,000,128. Current ratio is 1.037. Book value per share is $4.837. Total debt to equity ratio is 140.968.
- **Profit Margin**: The profit margin is 26.306%.
- **Income Statement**: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000. Revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280. Diluted EPS TTM is $6.43. Gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000. Net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264. Quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%. Quarterly earnings growth year-over-year is -2.2%.
- **Operating Margin**: The operating margin is 30.743%.
- **Return on Assets**: Return on assets TTM is 22.073999%.
- **Return on Equity**: Return on equity TTM is 147.25%.
2. **Stock Statistics**:
- Short ratio is 1.53.
- Float shares are 15,308,320,742.
- Shares short are 99,287,450.
- Average 10-day volume is 46,860,048.
- Average 90-day volume is 57,498,254.
- Shares outstanding are 15,334,099,968.
- Percent held by insiders is 5.22%.
- Percent held by institutions is 57.589%.
- Short percent of shares outstanding is 0.65%.
3. **Valuations Metrics**:
- PEG ratio is 26.319502.
- Forward PE ratio is 26.319502.
- Trailing PE ratio is 29.59409.
- Enterprise value is $2,950,762,332,160.
- Price to book ratio on a quarterly basis is 39.3405.
- Price to sales TTM is 7.646095.
- Enterprise to EBITDA ratio is 22.763.
- Enterprise to revenue ratio is 7.732.
- Market capitalization is $2,917,925,650,432.
4. **Stock Price Summary**:
- Beta is 1.264.
- 50-day moving average is $176.2646.
- 200-day moving average is $181.0429.
- 52-week low is $164.08.
- 52-week high is $199.62.
- 52-week change is 6.853%.
5. **Dividends and Splits**:
- Payout ratio is 14.93%.
- Dividend date is May 16, 2024.
- Last split date was August 31, 2020 (4-for-1 split).
- Ex-dividend date is May 10, 2024.
- Forward annual dividend rate is $1.
- 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%.
- Forward annual dividend yield is 0.5255%.
- Trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97.
- Trailing annual dividend yield is 0.5097%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) and EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) have also shown a positive trend, indicating improving operational efficiency.
3. The net income has been growing consistently, reflecting the company's profitability.
4. The basic and diluted earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable over the years.
5. The company has been effectively managing its operating expenses, as seen in the consistent operating income.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy gross profit margin despite fluctuations in the cost of goods sold.
7. The company's non-operating interest expenses have been relatively stable, indicating a consistent financial strategy.
8. The company has been able to generate income from non-operating interests, contributing to its overall financial performance.
9. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained relatively constant over the years.
10. The company's net income from continuous operations has shown a positive trend, indicating sustainable profitability.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. The current assets have also been increasing, with a peak in 2023 at $143,566,000,000.
3. Cash and cash equivalents have fluctuated over the years but show an overall increasing trend.
4. Non-current assets have shown a steady increase, with investments and advances being a significant portion.
5. Total liabilities have been increasing, with a peak in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
6. Shareholders' equity has also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $62,146,000,000.
7. Retained earnings have been fluctuating but show an overall increasing trend.
8. The company has been investing in machinery, furniture, and equipment, as seen in the non-current assets section.
9. The company has been relying on both short-term and long-term debt to finance its operations.
10. Overall, the financial health of the company seems to be improving, with a strong balance between assets and liabilities.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance and payments.
4. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
5. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but overall, the company has maintained a healthy cash reserve.
6. Interest paid has also varied over the years, potentially impacting the company's financial expenses.
7. Income tax paid has fluctuated, indicating changes in the company's taxable income.
8. Stock-based compensation has been a significant factor in the company's financial activities, impacting its cash flow position.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS):1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the corresponding quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and fiscal years.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, representing a 2% increase from the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. Again, 25 analysts have contributed to these estimates.
For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates for the annual sales is 38.
In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% from the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 38.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions about the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The growth rate for the current quarter is estimated to be 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The growth rate for the next quarter is estimated to be 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The growth rate for the current year is estimated to be 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The growth rate for the next year is estimated to be 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is estimated to be 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is estimated to be 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slight increase in growth rate expected in the coming years compared to the current period. However, the growth rate is projected to be lower than the average growth rate of the past 5 years.
Price target
Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.MACD of ORPH
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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