Analysis Oracle Corporation Japan (4716)
6/5/2024
Analysis of Oracle Corporation Japan (4716)
Based on the provided data for the symbol 4716, which represents Oracle Corporation Japan, we can observe the following trends:1. Price Movement:
- The closing prices have been fluctuating between 11,305 and 12,175 over the past few days.
- There seems to be some volatility in the prices, with both highs and lows recorded.
2. Technical Indicators:
- The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values indicate that the market may be slightly oversold, with values ranging from 31.25 to 58.16.
- The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) values show negative trends, with the MACD line consistently below the signal line.
3. Moving Averages:
- The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) values are all showing a downward trend, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market.
4. Overall Analysis:
- The market for Oracle Corporation Japan seems to be experiencing some bearish pressure, as indicated by the negative MACD values and downward trend in moving averages.
- Traders and investors may need to exercise caution and closely monitor the market for any potential reversal or further downward movement.
Please note that this analysis is based on the provided historical data and may not reflect the current market conditions. It is always recommended to conduct further research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS):1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is also an increase from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 from the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a potential increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates indicate a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing growth potential in both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company over the specified periods.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. It indicates a steady but slightly slower growth trajectory in the future.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median and average price above the current price. However, there is a wide range between the low and high forecasts, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, by the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. On August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a decrease in quarterly revenue and earnings growth year over year.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows a beta value, moving averages, and the range of the stock price over the past fifty-two weeks.
Valuation metrics reveal a high PEG ratio and price-to-earnings ratios, along with other indicators such as enterprise value, price-to-book ratio, and market capitalization.
Lastly, the dividends and splits information includes details about dividend rates, payout ratios, dividend dates, and historical split factors for the company's stock.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales have been increasing over the years, from $274.52 billion in 2020 to $383.29 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been fluctuating, with the highest in 2023 at $169.15 billion and the lowest in 2020 at $104.96 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown an increasing trend, reaching $114.30 billion in 2023 from $66.28 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been on the rise, with $99.80 billion in 2022 and $96.99 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable, with slight fluctuations over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a consistent number of outstanding shares.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenues has been positive, showing growth and stability over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been consistently positive, indicating that the company's core business operations are generating cash.
3. The company has been paying significant amounts in interest and income taxes each year.
4. The end cash position has also been varying, reaching its peak in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchases and debt issuances/payments, with significant amounts involved.
6. Investing activities reflect the company's acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures over the years.
7. The company has been consistent in paying dividends to its shareholders.
8. Stock-based compensation is a notable expense for the company each year.
9. The company has been involved in the sale and purchase of investments, impacting its cash flow position.
10. Overall, the cash flow statement provides insights into how the company manages its cash inflows and outflows across different activities.
MACD of 4716
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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