Analysis Oregon Pacific Bancorp (ORPB)
6/4/2024
Analysis of Oregon Pacific Bancorp (ORPB)
Oregon Pacific Bancorp (ORPB) has been showing some stability in its stock price over the past few days, with the price closing around $7.01 consistently. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is around 41.49, indicating a neutral position in terms of momentum.Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, the MACD line is slightly below the signal line, with a positive histogram, suggesting a potential bullish signal.
In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all around $7.00, indicating a consolidation phase in the stock price.
Overall, based on the RSI, MACD, and moving averages, Oregon Pacific Bancorp seems to be in a stable phase with a potential bullish signal in the short term. However, further analysis and monitoring of the stock's performance are recommended to make informed investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.Financials:
- Cash flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit margin: 26.306%
- Fiscal year ends: September 30, 2023
- Income statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.43, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating margin: 30.743%
- Most recent quarter: March 31, 2024
- Return on assets TTM: 22.073999%
- Return on equity TTM: 147.25%
Stock statistics:
- Short ratio: 1.53
- Float shares: 15,308,320,742
- Shares short: 99,287,450
- Average 10-day volume: 46,860,048
- Average 90-day volume: 57,498,254
- Shares outstanding: 15,334,099,968
- Percent held by insiders: 5.22%
- Percent held by institutions: 57.589%
- Short percent of shares outstanding: 0.65%
Valuation metrics:
- PEG ratio: 26.319502
- Forward PE: 26.319502
- Trailing PE: 29.59409
- Enterprise value: $2,950,762,332,160
- Price to book MRQ: 39.3405
- Price to sales TTM: 7.646095
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.763
- Enterprise to revenue: 7.732
- Market capitalization: $2,917,925,650,432
Stock price summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- 50-day moving average: $176.2646
- 200-day moving average: $181.0429
- 52-week low: $164.08
- 52-week high: $199.62
- 52-week change: 6.853%
Dividends and splits:
- Payout ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend date: May 16, 2024
- Last split date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-dividend date: May 10, 2024
- Last split factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward annual dividend rate: $1
- 5-year average dividend yield: 0.73%
- Forward annual dividend yield: 0.5255%
- Trailing annual dividend rate: $0.97
- Trailing annual dividend yield: 0.5097%
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions:1. The current year growth rate is estimated to be 7.6%.
2. The next quarter growth rate is estimated to be 5.1%.
3. The current quarter growth rate is estimated to be 5.1%.
4. The next year growth rate is estimated to be 9.7%.
5. The average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is estimated to be 9.72%.
6. The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years was 20.15%.
These estimates suggest that the company is expected to experience steady growth in the upcoming periods, with a slightly higher growth rate projected for the next year compared to the current year. However, the growth rate is expected to be lower compared to the average growth rate of the past 5 years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a wide range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end being $164, the high end being $275, and the average forecast at $204.58. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below the median and average forecast, indicating that the analysts are generally predicting an increase in the price of the security in the future.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential decrease in profit margins.
3. The company's gross profit has fluctuated but generally increased over the years, reaching $169.1 billion in 2023.
4. Operating income has shown an upward trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023.
5. Net income has also been increasing, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years.
7. The company has been able to maintain a stable number of outstanding shares, which is important for investors.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and income has been positive and improving over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with cash and cash equivalents showing fluctuations.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, which have been increasing steadily.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations but has generally been on an upward trend.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current liabilities, such as long-term debt, to finance its operations.
7. The company has been investing heavily in machinery, furniture, and equipment as part of its non-current assets.
8. The provision for risks and charges has also been increasing, indicating a need for risk management.
9. Overall, the company's financial position seems stable, with a healthy balance between assets, liabilities, and equity.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant cash outflows, mainly due to common stock repurchases and dividend payments.
6. Investing activities have also seen significant cash flows, with the sale and purchase of investments impacting the overall cash position.
7. The company has been managing its debt through issuances and payments, with long-term debt being a significant factor.
8. Stock-based compensation has been a consistent part of operating activities, impacting the overall cash flow position.
These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial performance and management of cash flows over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the current year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.
MACD of ORPB
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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