Analysis ORIX Corporation (8591)
5/29/2024
Analysis of ORIX Corporation (8591)
ORIX Corporation is a financial services group based in Japan that offers a wide range of services including leasing, lending, investment, life insurance, and real estate. Here is a short analysis based on the provided financial data:1. **Price Movement**: The stock price of ORIX Corporation has been fluctuating in the recent days, with the price closing at 3344.00 on the most recent trading day. The price has shown some volatility, with highs and lows varying over the past few days.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 53.22, indicating a neutral position. It is neither overbought nor oversold.
- **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at 34.93, with the signal line at 38.09. The MACD histogram is negative, suggesting a bearish signal.
3. **Moving Averages**:
- **SMA, EMA, WMA**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing an upward trend, indicating a positive momentum in the stock price.
4. **Overall Assessment**:
- The stock price of ORIX Corporation has shown some volatility in the recent days but is currently in a neutral position according to the RSI indicator.
- The MACD indicator is showing a bearish signal, which might indicate a potential downward movement in the stock price.
- The moving averages are trending upwards, suggesting a positive momentum in the stock price.
Investors should consider these factors along with other fundamental analysis before making any investment decisions in ORIX Corporation.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The average 10-day trading volume is 52.90 million shares, while the average 90-day trading volume is 62.82 million shares. The stock has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.56% held by institutions.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward PE of 26.21, trailing PE of 29.43, and a market capitalization of $2.91 trillion. The stock has an enterprise value of $2.95 trillion, price to book ratio of 39.18, price to sales ratio of 7.62, enterprise to EBITDA ratio of 22.75, and enterprise to revenue ratio of 7.73.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, 50-day moving average of $173.69, 200-day moving average of $180.79, 52-week low of $164.08, 52-week high of $199.62, and a 52-week change of 8.25%.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The company's dividend date is May 16, 2024, with an ex-dividend date of May 10, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%, while the forward annual dividend yield is 0.53% and the trailing annual dividend yield is 0.51%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, ranging from 38% to 44% over the same period.
3. Despite the increase in sales, the net income has not shown a consistent upward trend. It was $57.4 billion in 2020 and reached $97 billion in 2023, with fluctuations in between.
4. The company's EBITDA has also been increasing over the years, from $81 billion in 2020 to $129.2 billion in 2023.
5. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBIT margin, with fluctuations but generally staying above 30%.
6. The basic and diluted earnings per share (EPS) have shown some variability but have generally increased slightly over the years.
7. The company has been managing its operating expenses effectively, with a slight increase in absolute numbers but maintaining a stable ratio relative to sales.
8. The company's effective tax rate has also been relatively stable over the years, ranging from 14% to 17%.
9. Overall, the company has shown growth in sales and profitability, but there are fluctuations in net income that may require further analysis to understand the underlying reasons.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been increasing over the years, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been consistently positive, indicating that the company's core business operations are generating cash.
3. The company has been paying a significant amount in income taxes each year, with the highest amount paid in 2021.
4. The company has been actively involved in financing activities, including issuing and repurchasing common stock, issuing long-term debt, and paying dividends.
5. Investing activities have also been significant, with the company making acquisitions, selling and purchasing investments, and investing in capital expenditures.
6. The end cash position has varied over the years, reaching its highest value in 2020 and its lowest in 2022.
These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial performance and its strategies in managing cash flow over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a range from $1.27 to $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.53, with a range from $1.44 to $1.63. This indicates an increase compared to the EPS of $1.46 from the same quarter last year.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, with a range from $6.43 to $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous fiscal year.
4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, with a range from $6.40 to $7.90. This suggests an increase compared to the EPS of $6.59 from the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts are forecasting growth in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years, indicating positive expectations for the company's performance.
Revenue estimate
Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company over the specified periods.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.5%
- The next quarter growth rate is 4.8%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.6%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 11%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.15%
It can be observed that the growth rates are expected to vary across different time periods, with a higher growth rate projected for the next 5 years compared to the current and past periods. This indicates a positive outlook for the company's growth trajectory in the future, with a significant increase in growth rate expected over the next 5 years compared to the previous 5 years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
Based on these forecasts, it seems that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $200. However, it's important to note that there is a wide range of forecasts, from $164 to $250. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below the median and average forecasted prices.
MACD of 8591
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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