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Analysis Orsero S.p.A. (0YCG)

5/27/2024

Analysis Orsero S.p.A. (0YCG)

Analysis of Orsero S.p.A. (0YCG)

Orsero S.p.A. is a company that specializes in the distribution of fresh fruit and vegetables. Looking at the provided data, we can see that the stock price has been fluctuating within a certain range over the past month.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values indicate that the stock has been hovering around the oversold territory, with values ranging from 31.52 to 48.62. This suggests that the stock may be undervalued and could potentially see a reversal in the near future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator shows negative values, indicating a bearish trend. However, the MACD histogram has been showing some signs of improvement, with values moving closer to the signal line. This could indicate a potential reversal in the bearish trend.

Overall, based on the RSI and MACD indicators, it seems that Orsero S.p.A. stock may be approaching a turning point. Traders and investors may want to keep a close eye on the stock for any signs of a trend reversal before making any trading decisions.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. The company has been utilizing stock-based compensation as part of its operations.
8. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key metrics over the years.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow TTM of $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM of $84,726,874,112. The balance sheet shows a total cash MRQ of $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ of $104,590,000,128, and a current ratio MRQ of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.306%, with a fiscal year ending on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals EBITDA of $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM of $381,623,009,280, and diluted EPS TTM of 6.44.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, float shares of 15,308,320,742, and shares short of 94,308,265. The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, 50-day moving average of 173.6936, and 200-day moving average of 180.7906. The 52-week low and high are $164.08 and $199.62, respectively.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.213001, forward PE of 26.213001, and trailing PE of 29.428572. The enterprise value is $2,948,462,018,560, with a price to book MRQ of 39.181313 and price to sales TTM of 7.6151557.

Lastly, dividends and splits information includes a payout ratio of 14.93%, dividend date on May 16, 2024, and ex-dividend date on May 10, 2024. The company had a 4-for-1 split on August 31, 2020, and offers a forward annual dividend rate of $1 with a yield of 0.5266761603816345%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97 with a yield of 0.5108758755701854%.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000

From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a decrease in revenue from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
- Prior to the decrease, there was a consistent increase in revenue over the previous years.
- The revenue in FY 2023 is still higher than that in FY 2021 and FY 2020, indicating overall growth over the years.

These trends suggest that the company has been generally successful in increasing its revenue, with a slight dip in the most recent fiscal year.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next year compared to the previous year's earnings. This indicates potential growth and improvement in the company's financial performance according to analysts' projections.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company over the specified periods.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The company is expected to have a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year.
- The growth rate is projected to increase to 5.6% in the current quarter and further to 4.8% in the next quarter.
- Over the next year, the growth rate is expected to reach 9.7%.
- Looking ahead, the company is forecasted to have an annual growth rate of 11% over the next 5 years.
- However, the company's growth rate over the past 5 years has been significantly higher at 20.15% per annum.

These estimates suggest that the company is expected to experience moderate growth in the short term, with a more robust growth outlook over the next 5 years compared to its performance in the past 5 years.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security paper is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions regarding the future price of the security paper, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average forecast at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.

MACD of 0YCG

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link