Analysis of Osaka Organic Chemical Industry Ltd. (4187)
Osaka Organic Chemical Industry Ltd. (symbol: 4187) has shown some interesting price movements and technical indicators in the past few days:
1. Price Movement:
- The closing prices have been fluctuating between 3335.00000 and 3500.00000 in the last 10 days.
- The stock closed at 3480.00000 on the most recent trading day (2024-05-24), showing a slight increase from the previous day's close.
2. Technical Indicators:
- Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been hovering around 60, indicating a moderate level of buying momentum.
- Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows positive momentum with the MACD line above the signal line and a positive MACD histogram.
- Moving Averages (SMA, EMA, WMA) are all showing an upward trend, suggesting a bullish sentiment in the short term.
Overall, based on the recent price movements and technical indicators, Osaka Organic Chemical Industry Ltd. seems to be in a bullish phase. Traders and investors may consider monitoring the stock for potential buying opportunities.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were related to the transfer agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.
Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.
In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024. The company shows good returns on assets and equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has a beta of 1.264, and the fifty-two-week range shows a moderate change.
Valuation metrics reveal a high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio, with the company being relatively expensive based on price to book and price to sales ratios. The enterprise value is substantial compared to revenue and EBITDA. The market capitalization is also significant.
The stock price summary shows moving averages and the range of prices over the past year.
Lastly, dividends and splits information indicate a low payout ratio and details about dividend dates, split history, and dividend yields.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:
1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown a consistent growth trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been increasing over the years, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA ranging from $81 billion to $129 billion.
7. Despite an increase in income tax expenses, the company has managed to grow its net income continuously.
8. The company has been effectively managing its operating expenses, with a slight increase in research and development costs over the years.
9. Non-operating interest expenses have been relatively stable, indicating a consistent financial management approach.
10. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained stable over the years.
Overall, the financial performance of the company has been positive, with consistent revenue growth, effective cost management, and increasing profitability.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:
1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to finance its operations, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company has been increasing its liabilities to support its asset growth, which is reflected in the increasing trend of total liabilities.
8. Shareholders' equity has not been growing at the same pace as total assets, indicating that the company may be relying more on debt financing.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:
1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variability, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities show a mix of stability and variability, indicating a dynamic financial strategy.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:
1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two years. The average estimates are showing growth compared to the year-ago EPS figures, indicating optimism among analysts regarding the company's performance.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:
1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with a slightly higher growth rate expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current fiscal year.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The current year growth rate is 7.5%
- The next quarter growth rate is 4.8%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.6%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 11%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.15%
It can be observed that the company is expected to experience a significant increase in growth rate in the next year compared to the current year. The long-term outlook also shows a positive trend with a projected CAGR of 11% for the next 5 years. However, the past 5 years have seen a much higher growth rate, indicating a potential slowdown in growth in recent years.
Price target
Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.MACD of 4187